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Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV FS-TN, TVAS·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Austin Watson's goal at 8:15 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 64% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.9 to 2.9; shots on goal were WPG 33, NSH 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Austin Watson (1 G), 2. Ryan Ellis (1 A), 3. Pekka Rinne (32 saves, .970).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    A. Watson1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Ellis1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne32 saves, .970

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG06012115133
NSHNSH324011010345

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    K. Fiala(22)
    R. Josi (36), K. Turris (27)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    2:48
  2. NSH
    A. Watson(12)SHG
    R. Ellis (17)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    8:15
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(26)SHG
    F. Forsberg (31)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    0-3
    8:49

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(23)PPG
    B. Wheeler (59), P. Laine (24)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    1:08

Penalties

WPG 14 PIM·NSH 18 PIM

1st

  • 0:43WPGBryan Little · Hookingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 7:32NSHMike Fisher · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 13:52WPGJoel Armia · High stickingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 14:30NSHCraig Smith · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 14:30WPGBlake Wheeler · Cross checkingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 14:30WPGBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 17:44NSHCalle Jarnkrok · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

2nd

  • 13:26NSHKyle Turris · Slashingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 18:13WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 18:13NSHAustin Watson · Slashingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

3rd

  • 0:40NSHKyle Turris · Holding the stickdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 8:29NSHAustin Watson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:30WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Roughingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 18:30NSHP.K. Subban · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 19:29NSHRyan Ellis · Slashingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 19:29WPGBryan Little · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Austin Watson, 1st 8:15 — NSH 64% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.23K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.21V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.20K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.17V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.16R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.15V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.14R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.13R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.13V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.12R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.12A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.12R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.12C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.08R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Watson · Goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.06K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.05K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.00P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 3.9 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
2.91 G
All situations
3 G3.9
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.81 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG35%65%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 3.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
45
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/5
Power play
0/3
14
Penalty minutes
18
30
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
24
14
Giveaways
22
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000-260.17320—25:59
26B. WheelerR011-110.171023623:23
57T. MyersD000-120.14110—22:39
29P. LaineL011-180.65010—21:15
44J. MorrisseyD000010.03612—18:59
27N. EhlersL000-120.30112—18:15
18B. LittleC000-210.100144117:33
7B. ChiarotD000-110.03512—16:56
81K. ConnorL101-110.11100—16:22
85M. PerreaultC000-130.5830010015:24
52J. RoslovicC000-120.2700010014:53
9A. CoppC000-100.103003314:49
70J. MorrowD000020.04200—13:55
40J. ArmiaR000-100.00002—13:43
3T. PoolmanD000010.03010—12:06
13B. TanevL000-110.03210—10:33
56M. DanoC000000.05110008:03
16S. MatthiasL000010.121006007:22
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck303001.0002.38+2.3849:36
34M. Hutchinson(L)15123.8001.52-1.4808:45

Season series

NSH leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).