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Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
New York Rangers
▸6
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 6-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jimmy Vesey's goal at 12:15 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 3.1; shots on goal were CAR 44, NYR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Scott Darling stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.1 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 41 of 44 (.932), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Vesey (3 G), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (3 A), 3. Alexandar Georgiev (41 saves, .932).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Vesey3 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    P. Buchnevich3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Georgiev41 saves, .932

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR110118116344
NYRNYR192638623

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Zuccarello(13)
    N. Pionk (6), M. Zibanejad (16)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:06
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(20)
    S. Aho (29), B. Pesce (16)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:32

2nd period

  1. NYR
    J. Vesey(13)
    P. Buchnevich (23)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:52
  2. CAR
    L. Stempniak(2)
    J. Skinner (21), D. Ryan (17)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    7:48
  3. NYR
    V. Namestnikov(22)PPG
    P. Buchnevich (24), M. Zibanejad (17)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    11:51

3rd period

  1. CAR
    V. Rask(13)PPG
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.07win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    8:23
  2. NYR
    J. Vesey(14)
    P. Buchnevich (25)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +34 pts
    3-4
    12:15
  3. NYR
    M. Zuccarello(14)EN
    R. Spooner (27)
    wristxG 0.63win prob +7 pts
    3-5
    17:23
  4. NYR
    J. Vesey(15)EN
    J. Fast (14), M. Zibanejad (18)
    wristxG 0.53
    3-6
    19:36

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:14CARTrevor van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 18:08CARVictor Rask · Hookingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

2nd

  • 8:35NYRDavid Desharnais · Holdingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min
  • 11:45CARNoah Hanifin · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Spooner2 min
  • 15:29NYRChris Kreider · Holdingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min

3rd

  • 6:55NYRMats Zuccarello · Hookingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Jimmy Vesey, 3rd 12:15 — NYR 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.63J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.53M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.47R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.14J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.13D. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.13J. Gilmour · Missed · xG 0.12J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.08T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gilmour · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Gara · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.03J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gilmour · Missed · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 3.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
3.73 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR78%22%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.62 – 1.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
44
Shots on goal
23
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
15
7
Blocked shots
30
9
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27J. FaulkD000-140.17210—23:38
74J. SlavinD000010.05010—20:48
20S. AhoC011020.2931010020:05
22B. PesceD011-110.03110—20:00
28E. LindholmC000-110.070204419:43
14J. WilliamsR000-260.57200—19:40
11J. StaalC000+120.142006519:27
5N. HanifinD000-230.13102—19:19
86T. TeravainenC101+130.34100017:25
23B. McGinnL000-310.18110—17:07
53J. SkinnerL011-160.42000—16:04
6K. DahlbeckD000020.12000—15:57
7D. RyanC011-250.290005715:36
57T. van RiemsdykD000-220.03002—14:07
21L. StempniakR101-220.51000—13:45
49V. RaskC101-130.251027510:50
42J. NordstromC000000.11300007:30
34P. Di GiuseppeL000-100.00100—06:29
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Darling(L)21174.8101.93-2.0758:24

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).