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Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
1
New York Rangers
▸5
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first; the Rangers answered. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Grabner's goal at 1:52 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 53% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were CAR 33, NYR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Scott Darling stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Henrik Lundqvist stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Grabner (3 G), 2. Henrik Lundqvist (32 saves, .970), 3. Kevin Shattenkirk (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Grabner3 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    K. Shattenkirk1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR112011010133
NYRNYR0826312526

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Williams(5)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:56

2nd period

  1. NYR
    D. Desharnais(3)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    0:37
  2. NYR
    M. Grabner(11)
    K. Shattenkirk (14), J. Miller (15)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    1:52

3rd period

  1. NYR
    M. Grabner(12)EN
    R. McDonagh (13)
    wristxG 0.64win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    17:47
  2. NYR
    M. Grabner(13)EN
    B. Nieves (4), M. Staal (4)
    backhandxG 0.83win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:48
  3. NYR
    P. Carey(2)PPG
    J. Vesey (4), B. Smith (5)
    wristxG 0.18
    1-5
    19:20

Penalties

CAR 14 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:42CARElias Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 7:53CARTeuvo Teravainen · Trippingdrawn by Rick Nash2 min

2nd

  • 0:21CARHaydn Fleury · Holdingdrawn by Rick Nash2 min
  • 1:06CARPhillip Di Giuseppe · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 1:18NYRDavid Desharnais · Interferencedrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 7:55CARJordan Staal · Interferencedrawn by Michael Grabner2 min
  • 11:54NYRJ.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

3rd

  • 3:20NYRKevin Shattenkirk · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Jeff Skinner0 min
  • 4:20CARElias Lindholm · Slashingdrawn by David Desharnais2 min
  • 18:48CARSebastian Aho · Delaying gamedrawn by Michael Grabner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Grabner, 2nd 1:52 — NYR 53% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.83M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.64M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.21B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.20J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.19P. Carey · Goal · xG 0.18D. Desharnais · Goal · xG 0.18J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.12B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.11R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.09D. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.06K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.04P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR5 G · 4.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
2.21 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR43%57%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
33
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
2/7
14
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+110.01130—23:13
27J. FaulkD000-330.08220—22:07
22B. PesceD000010.01130—20:54
11J. StaalC000-240.251227119:24
4H. FleuryD000020.07112—18:19
28E. LindholmC000-200.093142917:45
5N. HanifinD000-220.11110—17:13
20S. AhoC000-330.27202016:57
14J. WilliamsR101+120.02000—16:39
53J. SkinnerL000-230.71200—16:31
57T. van RiemsdykD000+130.11010—16:10
7D. RyanC000020.102105715:24
49V. RaskC000+130.132005814:31
23B. McGinnL000020.14010—13:16
86T. TeravainenC000-200.000025012:48
42J. NordstromC000010.15110011:18
16M. KrugerC000010.011002009:29
34P. Di GiuseppeL000+100.00102—07:38
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Darling(L)24213.8752.52-0.4859:36

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).