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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV FS-CR, MSG 2·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 6-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Carey's goal at 10:47 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 60% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYR 27, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Scott Darling stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (2 G), 2. Henrik Lundqvist (32 saves, .970), 3. Jesper Fast (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    C. Kreider2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Fast2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR31105311627
CARCAR1170709133

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:52
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.00win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    2:26
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    8:50
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    10:47

3rd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    0:20
  2. NYR
    K. Hayes (5), R. Nash (5)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    5:45
  3. NYR
    snapxG 0.12
    6-1
    12:26

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:47NYRserved by C. Kreider · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:21NYRBoo Nieves · Hookingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min

2nd

  • 5:14NYRPaul Carey · Hookingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 14:58NYRPaul Carey · Boardingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 18:49CARserved by T. Teravainen · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:32NYRBrendan Smith · Cross checkingdrawn by Marcus Kruger2 min
  • 9:44CARJeff Skinner · Closing hand on puck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Paul Carey, 1st 10:47 — NYR 60% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.16J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.15J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.14S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.13D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.12S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.11J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.08B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Jooris · Missed · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.06B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.06J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.04B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.03D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Jooris · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.00H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
3.16 G
All situations
1 G2.8
2.65 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR56%44%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
27
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
6
14
Giveaways
15
20
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HoldenD011+410.07110—22:00
76B. SkjeiD011000.00010—20:35
42B. SmithD011+410.04102—19:56
18M. StaalD000+110.04130—18:43
22K. ShattenkirkD000030.21020—18:28
47S. KampferD011+100.00300—17:35
36M. ZuccarelloR011+100.00010—16:53
93M. ZibanejadC112+120.110104315:45
20C. KreiderL202+140.76000—15:44
17J. FastR202+220.38220—15:41
10J. MillerC011+130.202104715:37
89P. BuchnevichL000+130.23030—15:37
13K. HayesR011+200.030106715:35
61R. NashL011+100.00110—15:24
40M. GrabnerL000+110.23000—14:22
26J. VeseyL011+250.61210—12:44
24B. NievesC000+100.081023311:06
28P. CareyC101+110.17304009:14
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(W)33321.9702.79+1.7960:00

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).