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Blues at Wild
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Minnesota Wild
▸8
FinalTV NBCSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the St. Louis Blues 8-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Granlund's goal at 11:17 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were STL 25, MIN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.2 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (3 G, 2 A), 2. Jason Zucker (1 G, 4 A), 3. Mikael Granlund (2 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    E. Staal3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Zucker1 G, 4 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Granlund2 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1821205325
MINMIN38315210833

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(26)PPG
    R. Suter (35), E. Staal (30)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    2:57
  2. MIN
    M. Granlund(18)
    E. Staal (31), J. Zucker (22)
    tip-inxG 0.36win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:13
  3. STL
    V. Tarasenko(25)
    B. Schenn (32), A. Steen (25)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    9:59
  4. MIN
    M. Granlund(19)
    N. Seeler (2), N. Prosser (6)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    11:17

2nd period

  1. STL
    A. Pietrangelo(10)
    J. Schwartz (25), J. Bouwmeester (5)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    0:15
  2. MIN
    E. Staal(31)PPG
    J. Zucker (23), R. Suter (36)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    8:19
  3. MIN
    M. Koivu(10)
    C. Coyle (18), Z. Parise (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    17:07
  4. STL
    V. Tarasenko(26)PPG
    J. Schwartz (26), A. Steen (26)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    18:32
  5. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(9)
    M. Granlund (33), R. Suter (37)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    3-6
    19:44

3rd period

  1. MIN
    E. Staal(32)
    J. Zucker (24), M. Koivu (23)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    7:46
  2. MIN
    E. Staal(33)
    J. Zucker (25), M. Granlund (34)
    wristxG 0.13
    3-8
    10:54

Penalties

STL 12 PIM·MIN 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:51STLVladimir Sobotka · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 14:39MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Hookingdrawn by Scottie Upshall2 min
  • 17:25STLDmitrij Jaskin · High sticking double minordrawn by Nate Prosser4 min
  • 19:30MINMikael Granlund · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Soshnikov2 min

2nd

  • 3:19MINNick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 7:39STLAlexander Steen · Boardingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 7:46STLJay Bouwmeester · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:53MINNino Niederreiter · Holdingdrawn by Scottie Upshall2 min

3rd

  • 5:28MINMikko Koivu · Interferencedrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 11:10STLAlex Pietrangelo · Slashingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 11:21MINMatt Cullen · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSTL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mikael Granlund, 1st 11:17 — MIN 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.44M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.36Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.20J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.16E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.15N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.15E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.15C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.14J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.13E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.13J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.12M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.12C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.06J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.06R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.05E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02M. Koivu · Goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN8 G · 3.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsMIN
2.03 G
All situations
8 G3.7
1.62 G
Even strength
6 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL25%75%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/6
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
12
20
Hits
16
9
Blocked shots
16
2
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19J. BouwmeesterD011000.00412—24:16
27A. PietrangeloD101-220.26122—23:22
55C. ParaykoD000-310.14020—21:46
91V. TarasenkoR202040.36210—19:10
10B. SchennC011+100.142006719:05
17J. SchwartzL022010.12000—18:23
20A. SteenL022000.042025018:05
29V. DunnD000-220.08010—17:44
4C. GunnarssonD000-130.04010—15:17
28K. BrodziakC000-200.022005514:51
90N. SoshnikovR000-340.27000—13:42
43J. SchmaltzD000000.00000—13:15
49I. BarbashevL000-110.231102912:51
21P. BerglundC000-200.00000012:42
23D. JaskinR000-140.11104—12:28
71V. SobotkaC000-210.024023812:08
9S. UpshallR000-110.01100—11:54
32T. ThompsonC000-210.14000010:15
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(L)25205.8002.81-2.1940:00
34J. Allen853.6250.86-2.1420:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).