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Wild at Blues
NHL

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸6
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV NBCSN·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the St. Louis Blues 6-2. The Blues scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Foligno's goal at 16:53 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 62%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were MIN 20, STL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 35 of 37 (.946); Jake Allen stopped 9 of 12 (.750), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Parise (1 A), 2. Jason Zucker (1 G, 1 A), 3. Eric Staal (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Z. Parise1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Zucker1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    E. Staal1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN382913620
STLSTL11008119237

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Schwartz(16)
    C. Parayko (22), J. Bouwmeester (2)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:45
  2. MIN
    N. Niederreiter(14)
    G. Olofsson (3), E. Staal (25)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:02
  3. MIN
    M. Foligno(5)
    D. Winnik (10)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    16:53
  4. MIN
    M. Koivu(7)PPG
    M. Granlund (27), R. Suter (28)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    18:07

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(22)
    M. Granlund (28)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    9:45
  2. MIN
    M. Dumba(10)
    J. Zucker (18), M. Koivu (21)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    16:19

3rd period

  1. MIN
    E. Staal(23)PPG
    Z. Parise (2), J. Spurgeon (20)
    wristxG 0.13
    6-1
    5:05
  2. STL
    D. Jaskin(5)
    A. Steen (21), C. Parayko (23)
    wristxG 0.17
    6-2
    12:36

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:44STLKyle Brodziak · Holdingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

2nd

  • 6:22MINJason Zucker · Trippingdrawn by Carl Gunnarsson2 min
  • 14:13STLVladimir Sobotka · Hookingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min

3rd

  • 4:03STLDmitrij Jaskin · Hookingdrawn by Daniel Winnik2 min
  • 4:03STLJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 4:03MINMarcus Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 6:24MINCharlie Coyle · High stickingdrawn by Scottie Upshall2 min
  • 14:45MINMikko Koivu · Trippingdrawn by Patrik Berglund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Foligno, 1st 16:53 — MIN 47% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.17D. Jaskin · Goal · xG 0.17V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.15J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.11P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.11J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.11D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.09S. Upshall · On goal · xG 0.08V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.07D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.07S. Upshall · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07S. Upshall · On goal · xG 0.06R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.05A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.02A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.02K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.02D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.02P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.01S. Upshall · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
1.96 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.64 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN44%56%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
20
Shots on goal
37
38%
Faceoffs
62%
2/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
25
19
Blocked shots
14
1
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD011000.03050—28:11
46J. SpurgeonD011010.17320—27:18
24M. DumbaD101+120.05220—20:58
23G. OlofssonD011+100.07020—19:46
11Z. PariseL011-120.28120—18:59
12E. StaalC112+140.321102317:34
64M. GranlundC022+210.161006716:13
9M. KoivuC112+210.050024415:17
16J. ZuckerL112+220.16002—14:47
22N. NiederreiterR101+110.130005014:41
3C. CoyleC000-100.031022514:22
7M. CullenC000-120.070104414:18
39N. ProsserD000+100.00010—13:03
26D. WinnikL011010.011005013:01
63T. EnnisR000+110.11110—12:45
14J. Eriksson EkC000010.020103111:42
25J. BrodinD000+100.02000—10:44
17M. FolignoL101010.25112—10:21
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)37352.9462.26+0.2660:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).