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Blues at Wild
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Minnesota Wild
▸2
Final/OTTV FS-MW, FS-N·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1 in overtime, Mathew Dumba scoring at 0:39. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Dumba's goal at 0:39 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.2, MIN 2.0; shots on goal were STL 42, MIN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Devan Dubnyk stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Devan Dubnyk (41 saves, .976), 2. Mathew Dumba (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Allen (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk41 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Dumba1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Allen23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL01111401601142
MINMIN17090811225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    R. Suter(4)
    J. Zucker (9), M. Dumba (11)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:26

2nd period

  1. STL
    P. Berglund(2)PPG
    V. Tarasenko (17), V. Sobotka (10)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    17:41

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Dumba(2)
    C. Coyle (6)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    0:39

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:27STLBrayden Schenn · High stickingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 17:32MINChris Stewart · Roughingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min
  • 19:49STLScottie Upshall · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

2nd

  • 3:42MINDaniel Winnik · Holding the stickdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 15:53MINMathew Dumba · Hookingdrawn by Dmitrij Jaskin2 min

3rd

  • 9:36MINserved by M. Foligno · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 13:40MINMikko Koivu · Slashingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 16:02STLRobert Bortuzzo · High stickingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSTL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Dumba, OT 0:39 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.43M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.18J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.15J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.09R. Suter · Goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.07C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.07E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.05C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.04R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.04M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.02E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02N. Prosser · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.00R. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsMIN
2.21 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.40 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL53%47%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsMIN
42
Shots on goal
25
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
26
5
Blocked shots
17
2
Giveaways
2
0
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000-140.13200—25:33
55C. ParaykoD000-170.20010—24:40
91V. TarasenkoR011-120.11000—22:13
6J. EdmundsonD000-150.17110—21:02
10B. SchennC000020.213027220:59
71V. SobotkaC011030.20100020:34
17J. SchwartzL000010.09100—19:36
19J. BouwmeesterD000000.09000—18:31
20A. SteenL000020.13000—18:15
26P. StastnyC000-110.350106018:10
21P. BerglundC101-170.222004017:40
28K. BrodziakC000020.032005511:06
41R. BortuzzoD000020.08212—11:03
23D. JaskinR000010.02200—10:20
4C. GunnarssonD000000.09000—10:06
9S. UpshallR000020.02002—09:53
56M. PaajarviL000-110.04310—08:59
64S. BlaisL000-100.00100—07:17
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(O)25232.9202.03+0.0360:39

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).