Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Senators scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Petry's goal at 6:16 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 45% to 62%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.3 to 1.0; shots on goal were OTT 26, MTL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Mike Condon stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.7 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 25 of 26 (.962). Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (2 G), 2. Tomas Plekanec (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Scherbak (1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Lehkonen2 G

- ★★T. Plekanec1 G, 1 A

- ★★★N. Scherbak1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-02:05
1-16:16
1-27:54
1-318:47
3rd period
1-416:57
Penalties
1st
- 7:14
Artturi Lehkonen · Hookingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
- 7:14
Mike Hoffman · Embellishment2 min
2nd
- 5:22
Mark Borowiecki · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
- 6:06
Erik Karlsson · High sticking double minordrawn by Jonathan Drouin4 min
3rd
- 7:14
Brendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jeff Petry, 2nd 6:16 — 45% → 62%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.01 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.3
- 0.71 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.02 – 2.23
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 2/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 22
- Hits
- 19
- 25
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 18
- Giveaways
- 18
- 6
- Takeaways
- 15
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
