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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Montréal Canadiens
▸2
FinalTV SN, RDS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Senators scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Drouin's goal at 2:56 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 36% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were OTT 28, MTL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Mike Condon stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Carey Price stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Drouin (1 G), 2. Mark Stone (1 G), 3. Karl Alzner.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Drouin1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Stone1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    K. Alzner

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT11008010128
MTLMTL01221306231

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(14)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    4:36

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Drouin(5)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    2:56
  2. MTL
    P. Danault(4)
    A. Shaw (6), M. Pacioretty (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:14

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:02OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Hookingdrawn by David Schlemko2 min
  • 16:09OTTNate Thompson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Carey Price2 min

2nd

  • 0:34MTLAndrew Shaw · High stickingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 2:56OTTCody Ceci · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jonathan Drouin0 min
  • 11:31MTLJoe Morrow · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 15:09MTLJordie Benn · Slashingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Drouin, 2nd 2:56 — MTL 36% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.85P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.73J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.21J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.16T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.15P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.12P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.10T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.09T. Plekanec · Missed · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.08C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.07A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.03J. Jerabek · Missed · xG 0.03D. Schlemko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hudon · Missed · xG 0.02K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Jerabek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01D. Schlemko · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.00T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.00J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 3.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
1.61 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.00 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT41%59%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
28
Shots on goal
31
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
41
Hits
30
16
Blocked shots
27
16
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000+120.04130—25:57
61M. StoneR101+120.4721010022:21
5C. CeciD000-120.08050—22:03
2D. PhaneufD000-110.02120—21:59
15Z. SmithC000-150.303105020:08
19D. BrassardC000-110.036004019:58
9B. RyanR000-120.05200—19:16
95M. DucheneC000010.061103119:09
29J. OduyaD000+100.00000—17:50
68M. HoffmanC000050.34100017:26
10T. PyattL000020.03100—13:37
67B. HarpurD000020.01200—13:13
33F. ClaessonD000000.02410—12:53
44J. PageauC000000.022221112:36
18R. DzingelC000000.06200010:31
14A. BurrowsR000000.00400—10:19
17N. ThompsonC000020.074025010:05
40G. DumontC000+110.045003308:03
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1M. Condon(L)31292.9352.07+0.0758:36

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).