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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
0
Ottawa Senators
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Lansdowne Park

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 14:55 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.5 to 1.0; shots on goal were MTL 28, OTT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Carey Price stopped 35 of 37 (.946); Craig Anderson stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Erik Karlsson (1 A), 2. Carey Price (35 saves, .946), 3. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    E. Karlsson1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    C. Price35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Pageau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0808012028
OTTOTT01411529338

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Pageau(4)
    E. Karlsson (19), T. Pyatt (9)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    0-1
    14:55

3rd period

  1. OTT
    B. Ryan(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    0-2
    17:02
  2. OTT
    N. Thompson(4)EN
    M. Stone (14)
    wristxG 0.64
    0-3
    19:49

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:09MTLByron Froese · Slashingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 0:21MTLPhillip Danault · High stickingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min

3rd

  • 0:32MTLMax Pacioretty · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 5:50OTTThomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Daniel Carr2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 2nd 14:55 — OTT 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.64M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.28M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.17B. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.15M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.15M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.11M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oduya · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.01F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
1.00 G
All situations
2 G2.5
0.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL30%70%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.98 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
38
29%
Faceoffs
71%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
23
19
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000-220.02320—24:48
6S. WeberD000020.06420—22:58
22K. AlznerD000-120.03130—22:04
8J. BennD000020.06320—21:06
67M. PaciorettyL000-240.13102—18:55
92J. DrouinL000-230.010005017:47
65A. ShawR000-220.052103316:44
14T. PlekanecC000030.240102616:13
41P. ByronL000-100.00000—15:28
21D. SchlemkoD000-210.01200—15:19
27A. GalchenyukC000-200.01010014:24
54C. HudonL000020.042005013:29
20N. DeslauriersL000000.00510—13:24
24P. DanaultC000-100.001323813:18
28J. JerabekD000-100.00010—13:10
11B. GallagherR000030.20010—12:46
42B. FroeseC000010.130121712:36
43D. CarrL000010.01100—12:03
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)37352.9461.90-0.1057:28

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).