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Ducks at Avalanche
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
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Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 9:39 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals were close — ANA 1.9, COL 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 34, COL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.0 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Bernier (33 saves, .971), 2. Carl Soderberg (1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Bernier33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Soderberg1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA01211408134
COLCOL1921703329

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Nieto(8)
    B. Comeau (10), C. Soderberg (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:16

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(20)
    G. Landeskog (17)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    9:39
  2. ANA
    C. Wagner(5)
    J. Manson (19), J. Brown (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    12:55
  3. COL
    C. Wilson(4)PPG
    A. Kerfoot (19), E. Johnson (11)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    19:40

Penalties

ANA 12 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:29ANAJakob Silfverberg · High stickingdrawn by Gabriel Bourque2 min
  • 14:51COLMark Barberio · Cross checkingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min

2nd

  • 2:19ANAKorbinian Holzer · Trippingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 16:52ANACam Fowler · Slashingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 18:59ANAJakob Silfverberg · Hookingdrawn by Colin Wilson2 min

3rd

  • 3:05COLAnton Lindholm · Elbowingdrawn by Antoine Vermette2 min
  • 6:32ANARyan Kesler · Trippingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 12:52ANAOndrej Kase · High stickingdrawn by Anton Lindholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalANA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 2nd 9:39 — COL 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.12T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.11T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.10M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.05G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03N. Yakupov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.02B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.02B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCOL
1.91 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA49%51%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCOL
34
Shots on goal
29
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
10
2
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-120.16032—24:01
15R. GetzlafC000-110.063205722:42
47H. LindholmD000-120.02010—22:16
42J. MansonD011030.11100—22:11
3K. BieksaD000-110.04120—19:37
10C. PerryR000020.12010—18:07
67R. RakellR000-110.16010—17:47
14A. HenriqueC000000.000005517:26
26B. MontourD000030.05010—16:50
17R. KeslerC000020.281024015:35
37N. RitchieL000020.13310—14:51
33J. SilfverbergR000-130.12104—14:16
21C. WagnerR101+120.30420—13:31
5K. HolzerD000+130.10102—12:50
25O. KaseR000030.13202—12:38
50A. VermetteC000-130.141007510:41
71J. BrownR011010.01300—09:40
38D. GrantC000000.00320007:11
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)29263.8971.99-1.0157:09

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).