Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Barrie's goal at 14:21 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 55% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 1.1; shots on goal were ANA 18, COL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Reto Berra stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 17 of 18 (.944). Three stars: 1. Tyson Barrie (1 G), 2. Reto Berra (19 saves, .950), 3. Sven Andrighetto (2 A).
Three stars
- ★T. Barrie1 G

- ★★R. Berra19 saves, .950

- ★★★S. Andrighetto2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-111:58
3rd period
1-12:14
1-214:21
1-319:59
Penalties
1st
- 2:54
served by N. Ritchie · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 10:51
Rickard Rakell · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
- 12:34
Brandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Nail Yakupov2 min
- 17:27
Corey Perry · Slashingdrawn by Nail Yakupov2 min
- 19:01
Dennis Rasmussen · Slashingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min
2nd
- 8:59
J.T. Compher · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
- 16:45
Josh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Nail Yakupov2 min
3rd
- 0:38
Cam Fowler · Slashingdrawn by Sven Andrighetto2 min
- 12:50
Brandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
- 16:04
Carl Soderberg · High stickingdrawn by Antoine Vermette2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tyson Barrie, 3rd 14:21 — 55% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.11 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.5
- 0.80 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.7
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 2 G1.3
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.15 – 3.02
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 18
- Shots on goal
- 39
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 2/8
- 16
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 19
- Hits
- 10
- 26
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 1
- Giveaways
- 6
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
COL leads 2-1
1@
3this game
1@
3Final
3@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
