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Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

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Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Barrie's goal at 14:21 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 55% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 1.1; shots on goal were ANA 18, COL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Reto Berra stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 17 of 18 (.944). Three stars: 1. Tyson Barrie (1 G), 2. Reto Berra (19 saves, .950), 3. Sven Andrighetto (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    T. Barrie1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Berra19 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    COL
    S. Andrighetto2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0404110118
COLCOL11801229339

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    11:58

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +25 pts
    1-1
    2:14
  2. COL
    T. Barrie(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +33 pts
    1-2
    14:21
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.43win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:59

Penalties

ANA 16 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:54ANAserved by N. Ritchie · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:51ANARickard Rakell · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 12:34ANABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Nail Yakupov2 min
  • 17:27ANACorey Perry · Slashingdrawn by Nail Yakupov2 min
  • 19:01ANADennis Rasmussen · Slashingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min

2nd

  • 8:59COLJ.T. Compher · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 16:45ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Nail Yakupov2 min

3rd

  • 0:38ANACam Fowler · Slashingdrawn by Sven Andrighetto2 min
  • 12:50ANABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 16:04COLCarl Soderberg · High stickingdrawn by Antoine Vermette2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalANA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyson Barrie, 3rd 14:21 — COL 55% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Zadorov · Goal · xG 0.43B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.18G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.16C. Bigras · On goal · xG 0.14G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.13S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.13S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.12S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.12M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.10T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.09S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.09N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.09S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.08C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.07C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.06B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.03N. Yakupov · Missed · xG 0.03C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.03S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Bigras · Missed · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01C. Bigras · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00C. Bigras · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 3.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCOL
1.11 G
All situations
2 G3.5
0.80 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA17%83%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.15 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCOL
18
Shots on goal
39
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
2/8
16
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
10
26
Blocked shots
10
1
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-110.03132—24:58
42J. MansonD000000.01612—23:35
23F. BeaucheminD000+100.02310—22:04
67R. RakellR000-140.192024720:52
26B. MontourD101010.10074—20:48
33J. SilfverbergR000-120.090102520:23
21C. WagnerR000010.002105017:52
10C. PerryR000-110.03012—17:32
18P. EavesR000010.18110—15:31
7A. CoglianoC011+110.000105015:00
50A. VermetteC000-140.321104714:54
38D. GrantC000010.120405014:00
5K. HolzerD000000.00020—13:51
37N. RitchieL000000.03000—13:22
75J. MegnaD000000.00010—12:50
48L. ShawR011+110.02110—08:44
22D. RasmussenC000000.002026706:51
58N. KerdilesL000000.00000—03:33
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Berra(L)20191.9501.66+0.6638:58
36J. Gibson18171.9441.37+0.3720:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).