Skip to content

Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, SN1·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Zucker's goal at 5:40 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were WPG 33, MIN 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.9 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 32 of 33 (.970). Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mathew Dumba (2 G), 3. Marcus Foligno (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Granlund1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Dumba2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG05017111133
MINMIN1231929441

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    8:47

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:40

3rd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    0:47
  2. MIN
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    6:23
  3. MIN
    C. Coyle (15), M. Foligno (10)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    13:32

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:24WPGJosh Morrissey · Interferencedrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 11:09WPGserved by M. Dano · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:52WPGTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

2nd

  • 8:20MINJonas Brodin · Holding the stickdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 16:33WPGDustin Byfuglien · Hookingdrawn by Daniel Winnik2 min
  • 19:49MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Zucker, 2nd 5:40 — MIN 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.19C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.15C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.15M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.14M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.14M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.13J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.12J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.11C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.11R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.11J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.09T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.06M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03G. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
1.41 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.10 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG22%78%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.43 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
33
Shots on goal
41
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
11
17
Blocked shots
13
0
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD011-130.10322—24:07
8J. TroubaD000-230.06220—20:43
44J. MorrisseyD000-100.07132—19:29
26B. WheelerR011-140.141005619:26
57T. MyersD000000.02412—18:36
39T. EnstromD000-110.02120—18:20
81K. ConnorL000-110.01000—18:06
27N. EhlersL000-220.02000—18:00
18B. LittleC000-120.061005217:55
85M. PerreaultC101-160.5400010017:48
29P. LaineL000-130.18120—17:19
5D. KulikovD000-120.02110—15:42
40J. ArmiaR000010.00100—13:36
15M. HendricksC000-120.022106212:49
9A. CoppC000000.021303312:25
52J. RoslovicC000020.06000010:29
48B. LemieuxL000-100.00100—09:07
56M. DanoC000010.09000008:35
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)41374.9023.09-0.9160:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).