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Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV FS-N, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 7-2. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jacob Trouba's goal at 10:57 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.3 to 1.3; shots on goal were MIN 19, WPG 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 21 of 28 (.750), 4.7 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 2 A), 2. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jacob Trouba (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Trouba1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN260508219
WPGWPG27210311728

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:01
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:54
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    15:47
  4. WPG
    slapxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    17:15

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    10:57
  2. WPG
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    14:19

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(7)PPG
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    5:13
  2. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    6:18
  3. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.08
    2-7
    13:26

Penalties

MIN 29 PIM·WPG 11 PIM

1st

  • 16:40MINKyle Quincey · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 20:00MINMathew Dumba · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

2nd

  • 8:03MINRyan Suter · Holdingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 18:38WPGMatt Hendricks · Fightingdrawn by Daniel Winnik5 min
  • 18:38MINDaniel Winnik · Fightingdrawn by Matt Hendricks5 min

3rd

  • 4:44MINDaniel Winnik · High stickingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 6:18MINKyle Quincey · Roughingdrawn by Dustin Byfuglien2 min
  • 6:18WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Quincey2 min
  • 6:18MINKyle Quincey · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 6:18WPGDustin Byfuglien · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Quincey2 min
  • 6:18MINChris Stewart · Roughingdrawn by Dustin Byfuglien2 min
  • 6:18MINKyle Quincey · Misconduct10 min
  • 7:54WPGJoel Armia · Interferencedrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Jacob Trouba, 2nd 10:57 — WPG 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.20M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.16B. Little · On goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.12K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.11J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.09M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08B. Little · Goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08M. Hendricks · On goal · xG 0.07J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.06J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.05B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG7 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
1.32 G
All situations
7 G2.3
1.22 G
Even strength
5 G1.6
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 63 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN30%70%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.30 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
19
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
2/5
29
Penalty minutes
11
16
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
8
13
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000-100.01110—24:51
20R. SuterD000010.02022—23:55
23G. OlofssonD011020.03030—20:53
24M. DumbaD000-310.02242—20:08
64M. GranlundC000-220.1500010018:07
12E. StaalC000-110.030304018:06
3C. CoyleC011000.012105616:58
6R. MurphyD000+100.09020—16:45
22N. NiederreiterR000000.0100010016:42
9M. KoivuC000-110.021005016:27
16J. ZuckerL101-120.29200—15:39
27K. QuinceyD000-300.001016—13:59
26D. WinnikL000-150.21107—13:42
63T. EnnisR000020.03200—13:27
59Z. MitchellR000+100.00300—13:26
17M. FolignoL011-100.00000—10:16
10C. StewartR101-210.24002—10:06
7M. CullenC011-110.12100909:29
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)28217.7502.27-4.7360:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).