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Wild at Jets
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
FinalTV FS-N+, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 13:14 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were MIN 27, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.3 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 1 A), 2. Patrik Laine (2 G), 3. Jason Zucker (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    P. Laine2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Zucker2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11321004327
WPGWPG21011119430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(3)PPG
    B. Wheeler (7), M. Scheifele (4)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    8:07
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(6)
    T. Enstrom (1), D. Byfuglien (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:49
  3. MIN
    C. Stewart(5)
    J. Zucker (3)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    19:06

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Koivu(3)
    J. Zucker (4), D. Dubnyk (1)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:51
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(1)PPG
    M. Reilly (3)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    15:39
  3. WPG
    P. Laine(4)PPG
    M. Scheifele (5), D. Byfuglien (5)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    19:27

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(1)
    K. Connor (1), J. Trouba (3)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +35 pts
    3-4
    13:14

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:17MINMikko Koivu · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 14:30WPGDustin Byfuglien · Holdingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 19:03MINKyle Quincey · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

3rd

  • 1:54MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 3rd 13:14 — WPG 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.43B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.16S. Matthias · On goal · xG 0.15B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.14N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.14P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.12B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.08D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01T. Enstrom · Missed · xG 0.01T. Enstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.00P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.00B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.1 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
1.73 G
All situations
4 G2.1
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN51%49%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 1.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
21
9
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000+100.03010—24:38
46J. SpurgeonD000+110.01100—23:31
25J. BrodinD000-110.02110—20:26
24M. DumbaD000-110.02300—20:23
16J. ZuckerL022+120.30300—20:20
9M. KoivuC101020.190026018:39
12E. StaalC000-140.090105017:46
26D. WinnikL000020.18000—17:30
10C. StewartR101+120.19110—17:01
59Z. MitchellR000020.05110—16:40
4M. ReillyD011000.02010—15:43
19L. KuninC000-120.0221010015:23
27K. QuinceyD000000.00002—15:19
14J. Eriksson EkC000050.241023314:42
17M. FolignoL101010.14300—14:08
7M. CullenC000000.000105611:56
63T. EnnisR000010.00010—10:45
41L. FerraroC000010.18000003:30
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)30264.8671.67-2.3358:26

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).