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Rangers at Senators
NHL

New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
Ottawa Senators
▸3
FinalTV MSG, SN·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cody Ceci's goal at 15:08 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were NYR 29, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.4 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Bobby Ryan (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Duchene (1 A), 3. Michael Grabner (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Ryan1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Duchene1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Grabner1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR08111110229
OTTOTT18112110330

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Ryan(2)
    M. Stone (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:01

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Grabner(15)
    M. Zuccarello (18), R. McDonagh (16)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:57
  2. OTT
    C. Ceci(4)
    M. Duchene (9), B. Ryan (9)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    15:08

3rd period

  1. OTT
    Z. Smith(2)
    T. Pyatt (8)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    0:08
  2. NYR
    P. Buchnevich(11)
    C. Kreider (8), D. Desharnais (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    4:40

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:25OTTZack Smith · Holdingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min
  • 19:24NYRBoo Nieves · Elbowingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min

2nd

  • 16:52NYRJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYR goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Cody Ceci, 2nd 15:08 — OTT 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Smith · Goal · xG 0.23M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.17E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.13D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.11C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.09B. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.09E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.05J. Oduya · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oduya · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oduya · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01G. Dumont · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 1.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsOTT
2.02 G
All situations
3 G1.6
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR58%42%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 1.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsOTT
29
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
31
9
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD011+120.13100—24:20
55N. HoldenD000+100.00100—20:34
22K. ShattenkirkD000-110.04120—19:52
36M. ZuccarelloR011030.43220—19:21
18M. StaalD000-120.03000—18:52
76B. SkjeiD000-110.03210—18:30
10J. MillerC000050.452025018:14
20C. KreiderL011+100.00310—16:50
40M. GrabnerL101030.26100—16:21
42B. SmithD000-130.06200—16:08
61R. NashL000-220.07010—16:01
51D. DesharnaisC011+100.090006215:12
13K. HayesR000-200.050006714:55
89P. BuchnevichL101+120.14200—14:39
17J. FastR000-200.051005013:42
24B. NievesC000030.130022911:31
26J. VeseyL000000.00110—11:18
28P. CareyC000020.01310011:06
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)30273.9001.62-1.3858:43

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).