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Senators at Rangers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
0
New York Rangers
▸3
FinalTV MSG, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Ottawa Senators 3-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 4:46 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were OTT 20, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Henrik Lundqvist (20 saves, 1.000), 2. Kevin Hayes (1 G), 3. Mats Zuccarello (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist20 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYR
    K. Hayes1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zuccarello2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT070805020
NYRNYR01017210327

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    K. Hayes(5)
    J. Fast (7), J. Vesey (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:46

3rd period

  1. NYR
    M. Grabner(9)
    M. Staal (3), M. Zuccarello (12)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:52
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(10)EN
    M. Zuccarello (13), C. Kreider (5)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    17:31

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·NYR 19 PIM

1st

  • 4:26NYRBrendan Smith · Slashingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 7:17NYRKevin Shattenkirk · Delaying game puck over glassdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 14:24OTTJohnny Oduya · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 0:58OTTBobby Ryan · High stickingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 7:15OTTDerick Brassard · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min

3rd

  • 7:32NYRBrendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 7:32NYRBrendan Smith · Game misconductdrawn by Mark Borowiecki10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalOTT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 2nd 4:46 — NYR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.48J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.47P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.27J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.17R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.16C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.13K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.12P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.12B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.10J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.10J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.10M. Grabner · Missed · xG 0.10K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.09K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.08J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.06M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.06B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.04M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 3.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYR
1.40 G
All situations
2 G3.8
1.00 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT17%83%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYR
20
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
19
22
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
27
5
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-110.04300—25:41
5C. CeciD000-110.03120—23:48
61M. StoneR000-120.21200—22:26
2D. PhaneufD000-120.08230—21:35
18R. DzingelC000000.001005018:31
95M. DucheneC000-110.010003318:31
44J. PageauC000-210.052205018:14
19D. BrassardC000030.410025418:10
9B. RyanR000-200.03002—16:48
68M. HoffmanC000-150.25110016:30
29J. OduyaD000010.04112—16:11
33F. ClaessonD000-100.00120—14:44
10T. PyattL000010.07120—13:53
17N. ThompsonC000-100.004107313:22
14A. BurrowsR000000.00010—11:05
74M. BorowieckiD000-210.01320—09:36
13N. PaulL000-110.19000—07:57
49C. DiDomenicoL000-100.01000—07:17
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)26242.9233.36+1.3659:41

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).