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Islanders at Lightning
NHL

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV MSG+ 2, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Islanders 6-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 16:22 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 55% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 31, TBL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 2.0 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Yanni Gourde (2 G), 2. Chris Kunitz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Callahan (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    C. Kunitz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    R. Callahan1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI02217012231
TBLTBL211313110634

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(10)
    O. Palat (11), N. Kucherov (20)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:34
  2. TBL
    A. Sustr(2)
    C. Kunitz (5), R. Callahan (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    17:47

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(7)PPG
    J. Tavares (14), N. Leddy (17)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    7:07
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle(11)
    M. Barzal (19), A. Pelech (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:58
  3. TBL
    Y. Gourde(7)PPG
    M. Sergachev (13), T. Johnson (8)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    16:22
  4. TBL
    Y. Gourde(8)
    S. Koekkoek (3), C. Conacher (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    17:56
  5. TBL
    V. Namestnikov(11)PPG
    N. Kucherov (21), S. Stamkos (27)
    wristxG 0.45win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    18:46

3rd period

  1. TBL
    C. Kunitz(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    6:00

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:08NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Anton Stralman2 min

2nd

  • 5:34TBLBrayden Point · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 14:51NYIJason Chimera · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 18:42NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

3rd

  • 11:21TBLserved by C. Conacher · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:30NYIBrock Nelson · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Callahan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Yanni Gourde, 2nd 16:22 — TBL 55% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.45V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.18B. Point · Goal · xG 0.17Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.15V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.12R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.12T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.10C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kunitz · Goal · xG 0.10A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.09S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.09A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.09R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.08R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Sustr · Goal · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03B. Point · On goal · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sustr · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.02C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · Missed · xG 0.02S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.02D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 4.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTBL
2.12 G
All situations
6 G4.0
1.71 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI22%78%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 3.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTBL
31
Shots on goal
34
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
17
21
Blocked shots
8
7
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD011-220.10120—20:11
42S. MayfieldD000-140.14020—20:04
50A. PelechD011-110.02230—19:58
55J. BoychukD000-100.00130—19:02
44C. de HaanD000010.06220—18:58
91J. TavaresC011-110.070104118:51
27A. LeeL000-210.05304—18:19
6R. PulockD000-120.06230—18:05
12J. BaileyR000-340.40110—17:37
72A. BeauvillierR000-120.131003315:13
66J. Ho-SangR000-210.02010—14:47
13M. BarzalC112010.140003314:23
29B. NelsonC000-210.030025914:02
10A. QuineC000020.044002713:43
25J. ChimeraL000020.1321210013:24
16A. LaddL000+110.15100—13:20
15C. ClutterbuckR000020.16520—12:48
7J. EberleR101+130.43200—12:02
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(L)34286.8243.99-2.0159:38

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).