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NHL

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche

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Dallas Stars
0
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV FS-SW+, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Dallas Stars 3-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Johnson's goal at 3:02 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 28, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Jonathan Bernier stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (3 A), 2. Jonathan Bernier (28 saves, 1.000), 3. Erik Johnson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon3 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Bernier28 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    COL
    E. Johnson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0907012028
COLCOL01421216332

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    E. Johnson(2)
    N. MacKinnon (16), M. Rantanen (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:02
  2. COL
    N. Yakupov(7)
    N. MacKinnon (17)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    19:59

3rd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(9)
    M. Rantanen (13), N. MacKinnon (18)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    1:11

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:04DALRadek Faksa · Interferencedrawn by Chris Bigras2 min

2nd

  • 5:40DALserved by A. Radulov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:50DALDan Hamhuis · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

3rd

  • 5:09COLErik Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 18:28COLMikko Rantanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Dan Hamhuis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDAL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Johnson, 2nd 3:02 — COL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.32E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.15G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.14G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.14G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.05E. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01N. Yakupov · Goal · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01
COL3 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCOL
1.80 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.10 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL36%64%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
14
12
Blocked shots
10
2
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000-120.02010—23:31
47A. RadulovR000-220.06100—21:41
23E. LindellD000-120.04130—21:37
13M. JanmarkC000-350.280105020:46
14J. BennL000-210.172005019:29
91T. SeguinC000000.001103819:01
28S. JohnsD000-220.04200—18:43
2D. HamhuisD000000.00202—18:32
29G. PaterynD000020.08310—18:24
17D. ShoreC000-120.13010017:51
5J. OleksiakD000-220.02200—17:37
90J. SpezzaC000-110.270203515:13
21A. RousselL000010.300206711:28
46G. SmithC000020.130004010:56
12R. FaksaC000000.000026010:54
25B. RitchieR000030.25000—09:59
40R. ElieL000000.00000—09:50
18T. PitlickC000010.02100008:28
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)32293.9062.57-0.4360:00

Season series

COL leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).