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Stars at Avalanche
NHL

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV FS-SW, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Dallas Stars 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 4:04 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — DAL 3.1, COL 3.2; shots on goal were DAL 37, COL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 14 of 15 (.933); Semyon Varlamov stopped 34 of 37 (.919). Three stars: 1. Matt Nieto (3 G), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G, 2 A), 3. Blake Comeau (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Nieto3 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    B. Comeau3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL110113114337
COLCOL11131517533

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(5)
    J. Klingberg (6), T. Seguin (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:03
  2. COL
    M. Nieto(1)
    G. Landeskog (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    13:45

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Nieto(2)
    C. Soderberg (2), B. Comeau (1)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:14
  2. DAL
    B. Ritchie(1)
    T. Seguin (4), J. Benn (5)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:44
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(3)
    M. Duchene (5)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    4:04
  4. COL
    M. Barberio(1)
    T. Barrie (6), B. Comeau (2)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    19:50

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Klingberg(3)
    J. Benn (6)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    3-4
    10:12
  2. COL
    M. Nieto(3)EN
    B. Comeau (3), C. Soderberg (3)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:56

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:53DALJamie Benn · Slashingdrawn by Sven Andrighetto2 min
  • 12:09COLMatt Duchene · Boardingdrawn by Stephen Johns2 min
  • 12:43DALAlexander Radulov · Slashingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 15:17COLAlexander Kerfoot · High sticking double minordrawn by Tyler Pitlick4 min

2nd

  • 8:48DALBrett Ritchie · Holdingdrawn by Mark Barberio2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDAL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 2nd 4:04 — COL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.86G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.25M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.24M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.23A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.18C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.15E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.14S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.06S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.06B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.05S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.03E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barberio · Goal · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.00B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 3.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCOL
3.13 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.63 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL63%37%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCOL
37
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
6
13
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD112+150.29010—29:06
23E. LindellD000020.05300—26:15
33M. MethotD000+110.03230—24:01
91T. SeguinC022+130.690005021:09
14J. BennL123+230.452028320:39
47A. RadulovR000-340.15202—19:11
2D. HamhuisD000-210.01020—18:38
17D. ShoreC000-430.181105017:51
13M. JanmarkC000-350.130005417:50
25B. RitchieR101+240.42302—16:05
6J. HonkaD000-320.03110—13:42
10M. HanzalC000-200.002204413:01
21A. RousselL000000.04000—12:26
90J. SpezzaC000000.11000011:33
12R. FaksaC000020.120005011:11
18T. PitlickC000020.13000009:00
40R. ElieL000000.27200—07:15
28S. JohnsD000000.00010—05:32
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lehtonen(L)15141.9330.73-0.2733:23
30B. Bishop17143.8241.64-1.3626:12

Season series

COL leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).