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Avalanche at Stars
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Dallas Stars
▸3
FinalTV FS-SW, ALT·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 0:24 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were COL 23, DAL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Ben Bishop stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ben Bishop (22 saves, .957), 3. Devin Shore (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    B. Bishop22 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    D. Shore2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0408111123
DALDAL01421418336

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(2)
    T. Seguin (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    0:24
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(3)PPG
    D. Shore (3), J. Benn (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    19:59

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Duchene(3)
    T. Barrie (3), C. Wilson (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    1:26
  2. DAL
    E. Lindell(1)EN
    D. Shore (4), S. Johns (1)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:21

Penalties

COL 17 PIM·DAL 13 PIM

1st

  • 5:06DALEsa Lindell · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 12:06COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Brett Ritchie2 min

2nd

  • 2:24COLAlexander Kerfoot · Hookingdrawn by Julius Honka2 min
  • 2:58COLBlake Comeau · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 6:51COLNikita Zadorov · Boardingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 12:57DALMattias Janmark · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 16:46DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Nail Yakupov2 min
  • 18:56COLSven Andrighetto · Holdingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min

3rd

  • 3:59COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 3:59DALTyler Seguin · Fightingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth5 min
  • 3:59COLPatrik Nemeth · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Seguin5 min
  • 6:46DALAntoine Roussel · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCOL goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 2nd 0:24 — DAL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindell · Goal · xG 0.49A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.24D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.19T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.14J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.13T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.12J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.11J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.10M. Hanzal · Missed · xG 0.10D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.10A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.09M. Hanzal · Missed · xG 0.09J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.09M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Methot · Missed · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.05D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.05R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hanzal · Missed · xG 0.04A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.03J. Honka · Missed · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Methot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.00D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.7 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsDAL
1.61 G
All situations
2 G3.7
1.11 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL23%77%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsDAL
23
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
1/6
17
Penalty minutes
13
15
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD000-220.02260—28:35
4T. BarrieD011000.05310—25:45
92G. LandeskogL000+140.262402521:35
29N. MacKinnonC000-230.211004518:36
96M. RantanenR000-140.280006717:36
16N. ZadorovD000-110.01206—17:18
37J. CompherL000-120.130105017:13
9M. DucheneC101+130.250006315:50
12P. NemethD000000.01025—14:44
22C. WilsonC011+100.13000013:32
10S. AndrighettoR000-120.21002—13:28
14B. ComeauL000020.032025012:57
13A. KerfootC000-100.00002012:46
64N. YakupovR000-100.02200—12:45
44M. BarberioD000000.00010—12:28
3C. BigrasD000+100.00000—12:14
83M. NietoL000000.00100—11:57
34C. SoderbergC000000.000002010:47
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1S. Varlamov(L)35332.9433.18+1.1858:51

Season series

COL leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).