Furman vs. Tennessee: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
FURMTeam statsTENN
- Q4 11:40TENNJustin Baker 73 Yd Run (Josh Turbyville Kick)9–56
- Q4 13:13FURMIsaiah Davis 23 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)9–49
- Q3 1:50TENNTK Keys 22 Yd pass from George MacIntyre (Cooper Ranvier Kick)3–49
- Q3 5:55FURMNathan Chapman 50 Yd Field Goal 3–42
- Q3 11:38TENNMike Matthews 57 Yd pass from Faizon Brandon (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–42
- Q3 13:54TENNMike Matthews 55 Yd pass from Faizon Brandon (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–35
- Q2 0:17TENNFaizon Brandon 7 Yd Run (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–28
- Q2 3:05TENNDeSean Bishop 1 Yd Run (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–21
- Q2 11:14TENNFaizon Brandon 6 Yd Run (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–14
- Q1 10:42TENNEthan Davis 17 Yd pass from Faizon Brandon (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Tennessee was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
There was no drama to speak of. Tennessee dismantles Furman, 56-9 at Neyland Stadium. Tennessee led from start to finish and never let Furman within striking distance. Faizon Brandon threw for 226 yards on 17 attempts with three touchdowns and ran 10 times for 68 yards and two scores.
- PassJake Garcia 8/17, 36 YDS
- RushIsaiah Davis 8 CAR, 113 YDS, 1 TD
- RecDaniel Haughton 4 REC, 13 YDS
- PassFaizon Brandon 13/17, 226 YDS, 3 TD
- RushDeSean Bishop 14 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
- RecMike Matthews 4 REC, 132 YDS, 2 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTENN up 46 entering the 4th quarter. Across 107 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Furman vs. Tennessee?
Furman 9, Tennessee 56.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TENN) was correct.
| FURM | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 221 | Total yards | 638 |
| 43 | Passing yards | 309 |
| 178 | Rushing yards | 329 |
| 10 | First downs | 29 |
| 4-15 | 3rd down | 5-11 |
| 0-2 | 4th down | 2-3 |
| 11/22 | Comp/Att | 21/27 |
| 2.0 | Yards per pass | 11.4 |
| 4.9 | Yards per rush | 7.0 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 5-45 | Penalties | 7-60 |
| 27:51 | Possession | 32:02 |
Costliest call
Q4 6:57 FURM punt on 4th & 6 at TENN 39. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.68 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 11:40TENNJustin Baker 73 Yd Run (Josh Turbyville Kick)9–56
- Q4 13:13FURMIsaiah Davis 23 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)9–49
- Q3 1:50TENNTK Keys 22 Yd pass from George MacIntyre (Cooper Ranvier Kick)3–49
- Q3 5:55FURMNathan Chapman 50 Yd Field Goal 3–42
- Q3 11:38TENNMike Matthews 57 Yd pass from Faizon Brandon (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–42
- Q3 13:54TENNMike Matthews 55 Yd pass from Faizon Brandon (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–35
- Q2 0:17TENNFaizon Brandon 7 Yd Run (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–28
- Q2 3:05TENNDeSean Bishop 1 Yd Run (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–21
- Q2 11:14TENNFaizon Brandon 6 Yd Run (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–14
- Q1 10:42TENNEthan Davis 17 Yd pass from Faizon Brandon (Cooper Ranvier Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects TENN -38.1 (99% to win) — 11.4 points clear of FURM's market line of -49.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Faizon Brandon produced 7 of Tennessee's 13 explosive plays
Tennessee was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
The big plays only went one way
Tennessee produced 13 plays of 15+ yards to Furman's 6: Faizon Brandon (involved in 7), Mike Matthews (involved in 3) and DeSean Bishop (involved in 2). Tennessee scored on 62% of its drives to Furman's 14%, chiefly Faizon Brandon (30 pts), Mike Matthews (12 pts) and Justin Baker (6 pts). Stacked together, it was never close.
The difference-makers
Faizon Brandon threw for 226 yards on 17 attempts with three touchdowns and ran 10 times for 68 yards and two scores — three of them from inside the 20, four third-down conversions and a hand in seven plays of 15 yards or more. Mike Matthews caught four passes for 132 yards, two of them for touchdowns — a hand in three plays of 15 yards or more. Justin Baker ran three times for 89 yards and one score. For Furman, Isaiah Davis ran eight times for 113 yards and one score — two third-down conversions and a hand in four plays of 15 yards or more. Jake Garcia threw for 36 yards on 17 attempts. Ethan Harris caught one pass for 6 yards. Xavier Gilliam was the disruptive one for Tennessee: 3 sacks, 4 TFLs, 1 forced fumble, 4.5 tackles.
Key players' yardage vs their per-game season norm.
What Furman has to fix
Furman was not without production. Isaiah Davis ran eight times for 113 yards and one score, but it arrived in a game that was already gone.
The defensive story
Two names to keep, all for Tennessee: Xavier Gilliam (3 sacks, 4 TFLs, 1 forced fumble, 4.5 tackles) and Tyree Weathersby (1 sack, 1 TFL, 1 PBU, 1 tackle). 5 of Tennessee's 6 sacks came from the defensive line, which is how this defense has generated pressure since 2016.
The takeaway
Historically similar games since 2019 — close margin, both offenses held far below norm — and how often that offense outperformed this level the following week.
Tennessee did exactly what a better team should against Furman: leave no doubt.
Our coverage of this game
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →