Virginia Lynchburg vs. Robert Morris: Final Score & Recap

ReplayCommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Virginia Lynchburg0-3

00

Robert Morris0-1

▸0046

Final

Joe Walton Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
VIRG	0	0	0	0	0
ROBE	28	5	13	0	46

VIRGTeam statsROBE

57Total yards534

51Pass322

6Rush212

8First downs22

2-133rd down4-10

2Turnovers1

24:25Possession35:35

Scoring plays

• Q3 5:10ROBEZin'Tayvious Smith 5 Yd Run (Jayson Jenkins PAT failed)0–46
• Q3 9:51ROBEAndre Cooper II 69 Yd pass from Zin'Tayvious Smith (Jayson Jenkins Kick)0–40
• Q2 1:10ROBETyler King Safety0–33
• Q2 4:30ROBEJayson Jenkins 24 Yd Field Goal 0–31
• Q1 2:59ROBEChaese Jackson 34 Yd pass from Anthony Chiccitt (Jayson Jenkins Kick)0–28
• Q1 5:31ROBEKimon O'Sullivan 21 Yd pass from Anthony Chiccitt (Jayson Jenkins Kick)0–21
• Q1 9:23ROBELanden Lucas 66 Yd pass from Anthony Chiccitt (Jayson Jenkins Kick)0–14
• Q1 14:01ROBENoah Robinson 60 Yd pass from Anthony Chiccitt (Jayson Jenkins Kick)0–7

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

ROBE 100%50%VIRG 100%

Kickoff35 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

ROBE (top)VIRG (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: ROBE 100%

Leaders

Virginia Lynchburg

• PassCharles Brooks Jr. 7/11, 49 YDS
• RushNico Cleaves 4 CAR, 27 YDS
• RecWesley Nchinda 2 REC, 21 YDS

Robert Morris

• PassAnthony Chiccitt 11/16, 251 YDS, 4 TD
• RushDelvecchio Powell II 6 CAR, 50 YDS
• RecNoah Robinson 6 REC, 139 YDS, 1 TD

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

100.1sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

31

Points / snap

1.48

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

ROBE up 46 entering the 4th quarter. Across 106 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

ROBE went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WLSU vs Grambling72-10WClemson vs App State66-20WButler vs Hanover College53-0WNorth Carolina Central vs Delaware State52-10WSouth Dakota State vs Murray State52-6

Fourth downs

1 calls

Neither coaching staff gave up anything measurable.VIRG 0/0 · ROBE 1/1 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of Virginia Lynchburg vs. Robert Morris?

Virginia Lynchburg 0, Robert Morris 46.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (ROBE) was correct.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

VIRG

ROBE

—

Success rate

42%

—

EPA / pass

0.02

—

EPA / rush

-0.06

—

Early-down success

43%

—

Pass success

25%

—

Rush success

48%

—

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

13%

—

Stuffed rush rate

30%

—

Pass rate

26%

—

Avg 3rd-down distance

9.0

VIRG

—

0 scrimmage snaps

ROBE

9.0 yards to go on 3rd down

31 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

VIRG		ROBE
57	Total yards	534
51	Passing yards	322
6	Rushing yards	212
8	First downs	22
2-13	3rd down	4-10
0-1	4th down	0-2
8/20	Comp/Att	13/20
2.6	Yards per pass	16.1
0.2	Yards per rush	4.4
2	Turnovers	1
11-65	Penalties	8-74
24:25	Possession	35:35

Fourth downs

1 calls

VIRG

0/0 with the model

nothing given up

ROBE

1/1 with the model

nothing given up

No fourth-down call in this game cost more than a rounding error.

Every call, priced (1)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

VIRG 0/2 scoring drives← own end zone →ROBE 0/9 scoring drives

ROBETD3 pl, 81 yds· own 19Q1

ROBETD6 pl, 57 yds· own 43Q1

ROBEDOWNS9 pl, 30 yds· own 40Q1

ROBEFG12 pl, 66 yds· own 20Q2

ROBEPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· midfieldQ2

ROBEEND2 pl, -3 yds· own 37Q2

ROBETD8 pl, 99 yds· own 1Q3

ROBEFUM2 pl, 4 yds· own 45Q3

VIRGPUNT3 pl, -4 yds· own 21Q3

VIRGPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 21Q3

ROBEUncateg5 pl, 40 yds· own 2Q4

Scoring plays

• Q3 5:10ROBEZin'Tayvious Smith 5 Yd Run (Jayson Jenkins PAT failed)0–46
• Q3 9:51ROBEAndre Cooper II 69 Yd pass from Zin'Tayvious Smith (Jayson Jenkins Kick)0–40
• Q2 1:10ROBETyler King Safety0–33
• Q2 4:30ROBEJayson Jenkins 24 Yd Field Goal 0–31
• Q1 2:59ROBEChaese Jackson 34 Yd pass from Anthony Chiccitt (Jayson Jenkins Kick)0–28
• Q1 5:31ROBEKimon O'Sullivan 21 Yd pass from Anthony Chiccitt (Jayson Jenkins Kick)0–21
• Q1 9:23ROBELanden Lucas 66 Yd pass from Anthony Chiccitt (Jayson Jenkins Kick)0–14
• Q1 14:01ROBENoah Robinson 60 Yd pass from Anthony Chiccitt (Jayson Jenkins Kick)0–7

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →