Oregon State vs. Washington State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
ORSTTeam statsWSU
- Q4 6:43ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.52–24
- Q4 6:43ORSTOREGON ST pass complete for a touchdown.51–24
- Q4 10:40ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.45–24
- Q4 10:40ORSTOREGON ST pass complete for a touchdown.44–24
- Q4 13:47ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.38–24
- Q4 13:47ORSTOREGON ST rush for a touchdown.37–24
- Q4 14:55ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.31–24
- Q4 14:55ORSTOREGON ST rush for a touchdown.30–24
- Q3 1:03ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.24–24
- Q3 1:03ORSTOREGON ST pass complete for a touchdown.23–24
- Q3 4:50WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.17–24
- Q3 4:50WSUWASHINGTON ST pass complete for a touchdown.17–23
- Q3 11:08WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.17–17
- Q3 11:08WSUWASHINGTON ST rush for a touchdown.17–16
- Q2 0:44ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.17–10
- Q2 0:44ORSTOREGON ST rush for a touchdown.16–10
- Q2 6:55ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.10–10
- Q2 6:55ORSTOREGON ST pass complete for a touchdown.9–10
- Q2 10:32WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.3–10
- Q2 10:32WSUWASHINGTON ST rush for a touchdown.3–9
- Q1 0:31ORSTOREGON ST 20 yard field goal GOOD.3–3
- Q1 10:49WSUWASHINGTON ST 27 yard field goal GOOD.0–3
How the model called it
- PassSean Mannion 34/51, 493 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
- RushBrandin Cooks 4 CAR, 34 YDS, 1 TD
- RecBrandin Cooks 11 REC, 137 YDS, 2 TD
- PassConnor Halliday 26/49, 248 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
- RushJeremiah Laufasa 9 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
- RecVince Mayle 3 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTied entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,332 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q3 1:03ORST +27%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Kevin Cummings for 7 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 4:50WSU +27%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 4 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q4 14:55ORST +22%
Brandin Cooks rush for 8 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 10:32WSU +19%
Marcus Mason rush for 3 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 11:08WSU +18%
Jeremiah Laufasa rush for 1 yard for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 6:55ORST +18%
Sean Mannion pass complete to Connor Hamlett for 7 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
FAQ
What was the final score of Oregon State vs. Washington State?
Oregon State 52, Washington State 24.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ORST) was correct.
| ORST | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 598 | Total yards | 383 |
| 496 | Passing yards | 270 |
| 102 | Rushing yards | 113 |
| 29 | First downs | 22 |
| 7-12 | 3rd down | 6-14 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 2-3 |
| 35/53 | Comp/Att | 29/55 |
| 9.4 | Yards per pass | 4.9 |
| 3.6 | Yards per rush | 5.1 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 4-27 | Penalties | 4-33 |
| 33:58 | Possession | 26:02 |
Costliest call
Q3 7:58 ORST punt on 4th & 2 at WSU 43. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.38 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 6:43ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.52–24
- Q4 6:43ORSTOREGON ST pass complete for a touchdown.51–24
- Q4 10:40ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.45–24
- Q4 10:40ORSTOREGON ST pass complete for a touchdown.44–24
- Q4 13:47ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.38–24
- Q4 13:47ORSTOREGON ST rush for a touchdown.37–24
- Q4 14:55ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.31–24
- Q4 14:55ORSTOREGON ST rush for a touchdown.30–24
- Q3 1:03ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.24–24
- Q3 1:03ORSTOREGON ST pass complete for a touchdown.23–24
- Q3 4:50WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.17–24
- Q3 4:50WSUWASHINGTON ST pass complete for a touchdown.17–23
- Q3 11:08WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.17–17
- Q3 11:08WSUWASHINGTON ST rush for a touchdown.17–16
- Q2 0:44ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.17–10
- Q2 0:44ORSTOREGON ST rush for a touchdown.16–10
- Q2 6:55ORSTOREGON ST Extra point GOOD.10–10
- Q2 6:55ORSTOREGON ST pass complete for a touchdown.9–10
- Q2 10:32WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.3–10
- Q2 10:32WSUWASHINGTON ST rush for a touchdown.3–9
- Q1 0:31ORSTOREGON ST 20 yard field goal GOOD.3–3
- Q1 10:49WSUWASHINGTON ST 27 yard field goal GOOD.0–3
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (WSU Elo 1417, ORST Elo 1677 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects WSU +8 (31% to win) — 7.5 points clear of ORST's market line of +0.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2013
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#20 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #79 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →Washington State leads 56–44–3 · 42% have been one-possession games
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →