Utah Tech vs. North Alabama: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Utah Tech0-1
North Alabama0-1
▸Final
Braly Municipal StadiumConference game
UTAHTeam statsNORT
240Total yards501
230Pass244
10Rush257
13First downs27
2-133rd down6-13
3Turnovers0
22:13Possession37:47
- Q4 9:12UTAHBryce Parker 75 Yd pass from Bronson Barben (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)14–60
- Q4 11:52UTAHAlec Burton 39 Yd pass from Bronson Barben (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)7–60
- Q4 14:17NORTBen Harris 1 Yd Run (Scott Payne Kick)0–60
- Q3 6:44NORTTJ Smith 2 Yd Run (Scott Payne Kick)0–53
- Q3 13:56NORTJalen Fletcher 55 Yd pass from TJ Smith (Scott Payne Kick)0–46
- Q2 8:14NORTJayvian Allen 19 Yd pass from TJ Smith (Scott Payne Kick)0–39
- Q2 9:43NORTJyheam Ingram 40 Yd Fumble Return (Scott Payne Kick)0–32
- Q2 12:46NORTDakota Warfield 23 Yd pass from TJ Smith (Scott Payne Kick)0–25
- Q1 4:03NORTKaleb Heatherly 8 Yd pass from TJ Smith (Ben Harris Pass to Marlon Krakue for Two-Point Conversion)0–18
- Q1 8:02NORTScott Payne 37 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 12:36NORTJayvian Allen 4 Yd Run (Scott Payne Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
NORT −10
Against the number
NORT covered
line NORT −10
What the numbers say
- UTAH lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 14% explosive on a 29% success rate
Kickoff152 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
NORT (top)UTAH (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: NORT 100%
Closing line
NORT −10
Closing total
55.5
Model line
—
Actual result
UTAH 14 – 60 NORT
Utah Tech
- PassBronson Barben 5/8, 137 YDS, 2 TD
- RushBretton Stone 4 CAR, 28 YDS
- RecBryce Parker 3 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD
North Alabama
- PassTJ Smith 13/17, 207 YDS, 4 TD
- RushJalen Fletcher 9 CAR, 73 YDS
- RecTakairee Kenebrew 5 REC, 65 YDS
27.1sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
133
Points / snap
0.56
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsNORT up 53 entering the 4th quarter. Across 47 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
NORT went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Utah Tech vs. North Alabama?
Utah Tech 14, North Alabama 60.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (NORT) was correct.
UTAH
NORT
29%
Success rate
49%
0.12
EPA / pass
0.64
-0.31
EPA / rush
0.13
32%
Early-down success
51%
35%
Pass success
55%
18%
Rush success
46%
14%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
14%
32%
Stuffed rush rate
15%
63%
Pass rate
30%
7.5
Avg 3rd-down distance
6.3
UTAH
7.5 yards to go on 3rd down
59 scrimmage snaps
NORT
6.3 yards to go on 3rd down
74 scrimmage snaps
| UTAH | NORT | |
|---|---|---|
| 240 | Total yards | 501 |
| 230 | Passing yards | 244 |
| 10 | Rushing yards | 257 |
| 13 | First downs | 27 |
| 2-13 | 3rd down | 6-13 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 15/30 | Comp/Att | 14/20 |
| 7.7 | Yards per pass | 12.2 |
| 0.4 | Yards per rush | 5.0 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 4-36 | Penalties | 5-65 |
| 22:13 | Possession | 37:47 |
UTAH
7/10 with the model
−0.8 pts · −0.0% win prob
NORT
3/5 with the model
−0.7 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q1 0:03 NORT punt on 4th & 5 at UTAH 45. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.50 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishUTAH 3/15 scoring drives← own end zone →NORT 8/15 scoring drives
NORTTD7 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
UTAHPUNT3 pl, -15 yds· opp 0Q1
NORTFG6 pl, 30 yds· midfieldQ1
UTAHPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· opp 0Q1
NORTTD6 pl, 47 yds· opp 47Q1
UTAHPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· opp 0Q1
NORTPUNT4 pl, 24 yds· own 31Q1
UTAHINT6 pl, 32 yds· own 11Q1
NORTTD1 pl, 23 yds· opp 23Q2
UTAHPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· opp 0Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 26Q2
UTAHTD2 pl, 9 yds· own 31Q2
UTAHFUM1 pl, -1 yds· opp 0Q2
NORTTD3 pl, 24 yds· opp 24Q2
UTAHPUNT9 pl, 34 yds· opp 0Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 9Q2
UTAHDOWNS6 pl, 21 yds· own 40Q2
NORTEND2 pl, 7 yds· own 30Q2
UTAHPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· opp 0Q3
NORTTD1 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q3
UTAHPUNT4 pl, 17 yds· opp 0Q3
NORTTD9 pl, 79 yds· own 21Q3
UTAHPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q3
NORTTD10 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
UTAHTD7 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
NORTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 0Q4
UTAHTD1 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
NORTMISS12 pl, 53 yds· own 0Q4
UTAHPUNT4 pl, 1 yds· own 27Q4
NORTEND3 pl, -1 yds· own 37Q4
- Q4 9:12UTAHBryce Parker 75 Yd pass from Bronson Barben (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)14–60
- Q4 11:52UTAHAlec Burton 39 Yd pass from Bronson Barben (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)7–60
- Q4 14:17NORTBen Harris 1 Yd Run (Scott Payne Kick)0–60
- Q3 6:44NORTTJ Smith 2 Yd Run (Scott Payne Kick)0–53
- Q3 13:56NORTJalen Fletcher 55 Yd pass from TJ Smith (Scott Payne Kick)0–46
- Q2 8:14NORTJayvian Allen 19 Yd pass from TJ Smith (Scott Payne Kick)0–39
- Q2 9:43NORTJyheam Ingram 40 Yd Fumble Return (Scott Payne Kick)0–32
- Q2 12:46NORTDakota Warfield 23 Yd pass from TJ Smith (Scott Payne Kick)0–25
- Q1 4:03NORTKaleb Heatherly 8 Yd pass from TJ Smith (Ben Harris Pass to Marlon Krakue for Two-Point Conversion)0–18
- Q1 8:02NORTScott Payne 37 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 12:36NORTJayvian Allen 4 Yd Run (Scott Payne Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →