North Carolina A&T vs. UAB: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
North Carolina A&T
UAB
▸Final
Protective Stadium
NORTTeam statsUAB
163Total yards458
16Pass291
147Rush167
12First downs31
4-123rd down8-10
0Turnovers1
28:52Possession31:08
- Q4 0:28UABIverson Hooks 4 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Matt Quinn Kick)6–35
- Q4 13:24NORTOwen Daffer 33 Yd Field Goal 6–28
- Q3 4:21UABT.J. Jones 34 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Matt Quinn Kick)3–28
- Q2 0:25UABTejhaun Palmer 4 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Matt Quinn Kick)3–21
- Q2 12:07UABJermaine Brown Jr. 4 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)3–14
- Q1 2:23NORTOwen Daffer 37 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q1 9:32UABJermaine Brown Jr. 10 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
UAB −24
Against the number
UAB covered
line UAB −24
What the numbers say
- NORT played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and UAB did not face the same ones. 3rd & 7.3 vs 3rd & 4.9
Kickoff137 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
UAB (top)NORT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: UAB 100%
Closing line
UAB −24
Closing total
48.0
Model line
—
Actual result
NORT 6 – 35 UAB
North Carolina A&T
- PassEli Brickhandler 2/8, 16 YDS
- RushWesley Graves 16 CAR, 58 YDS
- RecKenji Christian 1 REC, 9 YDS
UAB
- PassJacob Zeno 38/41, 291 YDS, 3 TD
- RushJermaine Brown Jr. 6 CAR, 47 YDS, 2 TD
- RecFred Farrier II 4 REC, 54 YDS
29.2sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
123
Points / snap
0.33
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsUAB up 25 entering the 4th quarter. Across 583 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
UAB went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of North Carolina A&T vs. UAB?
North Carolina A&T 6, UAB 35.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (UAB) was correct.
NORT
UAB
35%
Success rate
72%
-0.74
EPA / pass
0.49
0.15
EPA / rush
0.54
36%
Early-down success
71%
13%
Pass success
71%
43%
Rush success
73%
8%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
10%
14%
Stuffed rush rate
7%
29%
Pass rate
58%
7.3
Avg 3rd-down distance
4.9
NORT
7.3 yards to go on 3rd down
52 scrimmage snaps
UAB
4.9 yards to go on 3rd down
71 scrimmage snaps
| NORT | UAB | |
|---|---|---|
| 163 | Total yards | 458 |
| 16 | Passing yards | 291 |
| 147 | Rushing yards | 167 |
| 12 | First downs | 31 |
| 4-12 | 3rd down | 8-10 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 2/8 | Comp/Att | 38/41 |
| 2.0 | Yards per pass | 7.1 |
| 3.6 | Yards per rush | 5.6 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 2-10 | Penalties | 5-45 |
| 28:52 | Possession | 31:08 |
NORT
6/7 with the model
−0.5 pts · −0.0% win prob
UAB
2/2 with the model
nothing given up
Costliest call
Q3 11:46 NORT punt on 4th & 2 at NORT 40. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.52 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishNORT 2/9 scoring drives← own end zone →UAB 5/8 scoring drives
UABTD13 pl, 81 yds· own 19Q1
NORTFG12 pl, 45 yds· own 36Q1
UABTD13 pl, 67 yds· own 33Q1
NORTDOWNS7 pl, 40 yds· own 25Q2
UABFUM4 pl, 42 yds· own 35Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 23Q2
UABTD8 pl, 45 yds· opp 45Q2
NORTEND1 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q2
NORTPUNT6 pl, 15 yds· own 25Q3
UABPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 12Q3
NORTMISS4 pl, 11 yds· opp 42Q3
UABTD6 pl, 69 yds· own 31Q3
NORTFG12 pl, 62 yds· own 22Q3
UABMISS14 pl, 55 yds· own 35Q4
NORTPUNT6 pl, 19 yds· own 20Q4
UABTD11 pl, 99 yds· own 1Q4
NORTEND1 pl, 4 yds· own 36Q4
- Q4 0:28UABIverson Hooks 4 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Matt Quinn Kick)6–35
- Q4 13:24NORTOwen Daffer 33 Yd Field Goal 6–28
- Q3 4:21UABT.J. Jones 34 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Matt Quinn Kick)3–28
- Q2 0:25UABTejhaun Palmer 4 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Matt Quinn Kick)3–21
- Q2 12:07UABJermaine Brown Jr. 4 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)3–14
- Q1 2:23NORTOwen Daffer 37 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q1 9:32UABJermaine Brown Jr. 10 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →