Eastern Illinois vs. Indiana State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Eastern Illinois
▸
Indiana State
Final
Memorial Stadium
EASTTeam statsINDI
338Total yards217
244Pass116
94Rush101
17First downs16
5-123rd down4-14
1Turnovers6
29:49Possession30:11
- Q3 3:20EASTAnthony Manaves 2 Yd pass from Pierce Holley (William Orth Kick)27–0
- Q3 6:50EASTTeam Safety 20–0
- Q2 0:21EASTNiJhay Burt 67 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)18–0
- Q2 0:55EASTTyris Harvey 19 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)12–0
- Q1 10:08EASTJustin Bowick 35 Yd pass from Pierce Holley (William Orth PAT failed)6–0
Kickoff135 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
INDI (top)EAST (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: INDI 0%
Eastern Illinois
- PassPierce Holley 19/30, 244 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushKevin Daniels 13 CAR, 57 YDS
- RecEli Mirza 4 REC, 82 YDS
Indiana State
- PassGavin Screws 13/24, 116 YDS, 2 INT
- RushEvan Olaes 9 CAR, 59 YDS
- RecDakota Caton 6 REC, 70 YDS
29sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
124
Points / snap
0.22
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsEAST up 27 entering the 4th quarter. Across 530 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
99%
EAST went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Eastern Illinois vs. Indiana State?
Eastern Illinois 27, Indiana State 0.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked INDI, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
EAST
INDI
38%
Success rate
33%
0.25
EPA / pass
-1.06
-0.19
EPA / rush
-0.03
40%
Early-down success
29%
46%
Pass success
33%
28%
Rush success
33%
11%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
10%
35%
Stuffed rush rate
21%
55%
Pass rate
45%
7.6
Avg 3rd-down distance
6.4
EAST
7.6 yards to go on 3rd down
64 scrimmage snaps
INDI
6.4 yards to go on 3rd down
60 scrimmage snaps
| EAST | INDI | |
|---|---|---|
| 338 | Total yards | 217 |
| 244 | Passing yards | 116 |
| 94 | Rushing yards | 101 |
| 17 | First downs | 16 |
| 5-12 | 3rd down | 4-14 |
| 0-3 | 4th down | 1-4 |
| 19/31 | Comp/Att | 13/26 |
| 7.9 | Yards per pass | 4.5 |
| 3.1 | Yards per rush | 2.8 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 4-55 | Penalties | 3-22 |
| 29:49 | Possession | 30:11 |
EAST
4/7 with the model
−1.8 pts · −0.0% win prob
INDI
4/8 with the model
−2.7 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q3 6:50 INDI go for it on 4th & 15 at INDI 16. The model preferred punt, a gap of 1.45 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishEAST 2/10 scoring drives← own end zone →INDI 3/12 scoring drives
INDIPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q1
EASTTD7 pl, 78 yds· own 22Q1
INDIPUNT6 pl, 10 yds· own 36Q1
EASTPUNT3 pl, -7 yds· own 19Q1
INDIPUNT4 pl, 7 yds· own 31Q1
EASTDOWNS13 pl, 83 yds· own 12Q1
INDIFUM13 pl, 71 yds· own 5Q2
EASTPUNT6 pl, 27 yds· own 24Q2
INDITD3 pl, 3 yds· own 11Q2
INDITD3 pl, 26 yds· own 26Q2
INDIEND3 pl, -2 yds· own 35Q2
EASTDOWNS10 pl, 73 yds· own 16Q3
INDISAF7 pl, 5 yds· own 11Q3
EASTTD6 pl, 59 yds· own 41Q3
INDIDOWNS7 pl, 47 yds· own 26Q3
EASTPUNT7 pl, 25 yds· own 27Q4
INDIINT2 pl, 20 yds· own 9Q4
EASTDOWNS4 pl, -9 yds· opp 31Q4
INDIDOWNS5 pl, 33 yds· own 40Q4
EASTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 27Q4
INDIINT6 pl, 29 yds· own 35Q4
EASTEND2 pl, 0 yds· own 32Q4
- Q3 3:20EASTAnthony Manaves 2 Yd pass from Pierce Holley (William Orth Kick)27–0
- Q3 6:50EASTTeam Safety 20–0
- Q2 0:21EASTNiJhay Burt 67 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)18–0
- Q2 0:55EASTTyris Harvey 19 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)12–0
- Q1 10:08EASTJustin Bowick 35 Yd pass from Pierce Holley (William Orth PAT failed)6–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →