Duquesne vs. Sacred Heart: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Duquesne0-2
▸
Sacred Heart
Final
Campus FieldConference game
DUQUTeam statsSACR
436Total yards179
207Pass83
229Rush96
21First downs9
5-143rd down4-16
2Turnovers0
33:20Possession26:40
- Q3 4:19DUQUEdward Robinson 33 Yd Run (Brian Bruzdewicz Kick)27–0
- Q2 1:33DUQUDarryl Powell Jr. 59 Yd pass from Darius Perrantes (Brian Bruzdewicz Kick)20–0
- Q2 11:54DUQUBrian Bruzdewicz 34 Yd Field Goal 13–0
- Q1 3:38DUQUBrian Bruzdewicz 33 Yd Field Goal 10–0
- Q1 13:01DUQUDarryl Powell Jr. 4 Yd pass from Darius Perrantes (Brian Bruzdewicz Kick)7–0
How the model called it
Market line
DUQU −5.5
Against the number
DUQU covered
line DUQU −5.5
What the numbers say
- SACR played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and DUQU did not face the same ones. 3rd & 8.7 vs 3rd & 4.9
- DUQU lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 16% explosive on a 40% success rate
Kickoff153 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
SACR (top)DUQU (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: SACR 0%
Closing line
DUQU −5.5
Closing total
49.0
Model line
—
Actual result
DUQU 27 – 0 SACR
Duquesne
- PassDarius Perrantes 13/24, 203 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
- RushEdward Robinson 16 CAR, 120 YDS, 1 TD
- RecDarryl Powell Jr. 2 REC, 63 YDS, 2 TD
Sacred Heart
- PassRob McCoy Jr. 11/23, 82 YDS
- RushJalen Madison 16 CAR, 70 YDS
- RecAboraa Kwarteng 6 REC, 46 YDS
25.6sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
129
Points / snap
0.21
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsDUQU up 27 entering the 4th quarter. Across 530 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
99%
DUQU went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Duquesne vs. Sacred Heart?
Duquesne 27, Sacred Heart 0.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked SACR, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
DUQU
SACR
40%
Success rate
25%
0.45
EPA / pass
-0.33
0.16
EPA / rush
-0.03
39%
Early-down success
23%
41%
Pass success
21%
39%
Rush success
28%
16%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
3%
12%
Stuffed rush rate
22%
40%
Pass rate
48%
4.9
Avg 3rd-down distance
8.7
DUQU
4.9 yards to go on 3rd down
68 scrimmage snaps
SACR
8.7 yards to go on 3rd down
61 scrimmage snaps
| DUQU | SACR | |
|---|---|---|
| 436 | Total yards | 179 |
| 207 | Passing yards | 83 |
| 229 | Rushing yards | 96 |
| 21 | First downs | 9 |
| 5-14 | 3rd down | 4-16 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 1-1 |
| 14/26 | Comp/Att | 12/25 |
| 8.0 | Yards per pass | 3.3 |
| 5.6 | Yards per rush | 2.9 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 3-20 | Penalties | 9-84 |
| 33:20 | Possession | 26:40 |
DUQU
4/7 with the model
−1.4 pts · −0.0% win prob
SACR
6/11 with the model
−3.5 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q1 11:07 SACR punt on 4th & 1 at SACR 43. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.15 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishDUQU 5/12 scoring drives← own end zone →SACR 0/13 scoring drives
DUQUPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 10Q1
DUQUFG11 pl, 62 yds· own 23Q1
DUQUTD6 pl, 69 yds· own 31Q1
SACRPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 34Q1
SACRPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 46Q1
SACRPUNT3 pl, -4 yds· own 35Q1
DUQUFG13 pl, 56 yds· own 28Q1
DUQUPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 34Q2
SACRPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 35Q2
SACRPUNT4 pl, -11 yds· own 35Q2
SACRPUNT10 pl, 20 yds· own 23Q2
DUQUTD4 pl, 70 yds· own 30Q2
DUQUINT3 pl, 11 yds· own 20Q2
SACREND1 pl, 0 yds· own 27Q2
DUQUPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 15Q3
SACRPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q3
DUQUINT7 pl, 55 yds· own 27Q3
SACRPUNT7 pl, 13 yds· own 20Q3
DUQUTD6 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
SACRPUNT10 pl, 28 yds· own 25Q3
DUQUPUNT6 pl, 27 yds· own 20Q4
SACRPUNT5 pl, 17 yds· own 4Q4
SACRPUNT6 pl, 21 yds· own 25Q4
DUQUPUNT6 pl, 13 yds· own 36Q4
SACRUncateg3 pl, 10 yds· own 21Q4
- Q3 4:19DUQUEdward Robinson 33 Yd Run (Brian Bruzdewicz Kick)27–0
- Q2 1:33DUQUDarryl Powell Jr. 59 Yd pass from Darius Perrantes (Brian Bruzdewicz Kick)20–0
- Q2 11:54DUQUBrian Bruzdewicz 34 Yd Field Goal 13–0
- Q1 3:38DUQUBrian Bruzdewicz 33 Yd Field Goal 10–0
- Q1 13:01DUQUDarryl Powell Jr. 4 Yd pass from Darius Perrantes (Brian Bruzdewicz Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →