Delaware State vs. Miami (OH): Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Delaware State0-1
Miami (OH)2-1
▸Final
Yager Stadium
DELATeam statsM-OH
351Total yards646
274Pass180
77Rush466
14First downs28
5-153rd down8-10
0Turnovers0
31:34Possession28:25
- Q4 3:05M-OHNate Milanowski 1 Yd Run (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)20–62
- Q3 7:27M-OHJordan Brunson 4 Yd Run (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)20–55
- Q3 9:58M-OHKeyon Mozee 6 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)20–48
- Q3 12:18DELAWade Inge 10 Yd pass from Marqui Adams (Jonathan Cardoza-Chicas Kick)20–41
- Q3 14:20M-OHKeyon Mozee 23 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)13–41
- Q2 0:00M-OHGraham Nicholson 19 Yd Field Goal 13–34
- Q2 1:24DELAEJ Core 4 Yd pass from Marqui Adams (Jonathan Cardoza-Chicas PAT failed)13–31
- Q2 7:21M-OHKenny Tracy 6 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)7–31
- Q2 11:27M-OHReggie Virgil 34 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)7–24
- Q1 1:07M-OHJavon Tracy 10 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)7–17
- Q1 5:03M-OHGraham Nicholson 44 Yd Field Goal 7–10
- Q1 7:48DELAWade Inge 50 Yd pass from Marqui Adams (Jonathan Cardoza-Chicas Kick)7–7
- Q1 12:10M-OHRashad Amos 5 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
M-OH −40.5
Against the number
M-OH covered
line M-OH −40.5
What the numbers say
- DELA played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and M-OH did not face the same ones. 3rd & 8.9 vs 3rd & 4.1
Kickoff143 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
M-OH (top)DELA (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: M-OH 100%
Closing line
M-OH −40.5
Closing total
49.5
Model line
—
Actual result
DELA 20 – 62 M-OH
Delaware State
- PassMarqui Adams 21/33, 274 YDS, 3 TD
- RushMarqui Adams 12 CAR, 60 YDS
- RecKhyheem Waleed 4 REC, 125 YDS
Miami (OH)
- PassBrett Gabbert 15/19, 180 YDS, 2 TD
- RushJordan Brunson 9 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
- RecJoe Wilkins Jr. 6 REC, 74 YDS
24.7sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
128
Points / snap
0.64
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsM-OH up 35 entering the 4th quarter. Across 273 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
M-OH went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Delaware State vs. Miami (OH)?
Delaware State 20, Miami (OH) 62.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (M-OH) was correct.
DELA
M-OH
36%
Success rate
66%
0.65
EPA / pass
0.54
0.04
EPA / rush
0.74
34%
Early-down success
64%
42%
Pass success
65%
29%
Rush success
66%
10%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
19%
7%
Stuffed rush rate
7%
54%
Pass rate
34%
8.9
Avg 3rd-down distance
4.1
DELA
8.9 yards to go on 3rd down
61 scrimmage snaps
M-OH
4.1 yards to go on 3rd down
67 scrimmage snaps
| DELA | M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 351 | Total yards | 646 |
| 274 | Passing yards | 180 |
| 77 | Rushing yards | 466 |
| 14 | First downs | 28 |
| 5-15 | 3rd down | 8-10 |
| 2-4 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 21/33 | Comp/Att | 15/21 |
| 8.3 | Yards per pass | 8.6 |
| 2.8 | Yards per rush | 10.8 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 8-57 | Penalties | 4-45 |
| 31:34 | Possession | 28:25 |
DELA
8/10 with the model
−0.5 pts · −0.0% win prob
M-OH
2/2 with the model
nothing given up
Costliest call
Q4 11:42 DELA go for it on 4th & 6 at M-OH 25. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.23 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishDELA 3/11 scoring drives← own end zone →M-OH 10/12 scoring drives
M-OHFG6 pl, 24 yds· midfieldQ0
DELAPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q1
M-OHTD3 pl, 57 yds· own 43Q1
DELATD9 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
DELAPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q1
M-OHTD5 pl, 50 yds· midfieldQ1
DELAPUNT6 pl, 18 yds· own 25Q1
M-OHTD5 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
DELAPUNT3 pl, -11 yds· own 25Q2
M-OHTD6 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q2
DELATD12 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
M-OHFG10 pl, 63 yds· own 35Q2
M-OHTD2 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q3
DELATD4 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
M-OHTD5 pl, 66 yds· own 34Q3
DELAPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 30Q3
M-OHTD3 pl, 74 yds· own 26Q3
DELAPUNT3 pl, -8 yds· own 25Q3
M-OHDOWNS8 pl, 44 yds· own 46Q3
DELADOWNS10 pl, 67 yds· own 10Q3
M-OHTD12 pl, 77 yds· own 23Q4
DELADOWNS5 pl, 28 yds· own 25Q4
M-OHEND2 pl, -7 yds· own 47Q4
- Q4 3:05M-OHNate Milanowski 1 Yd Run (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)20–62
- Q3 7:27M-OHJordan Brunson 4 Yd Run (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)20–55
- Q3 9:58M-OHKeyon Mozee 6 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)20–48
- Q3 12:18DELAWade Inge 10 Yd pass from Marqui Adams (Jonathan Cardoza-Chicas Kick)20–41
- Q3 14:20M-OHKeyon Mozee 23 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)13–41
- Q2 0:00M-OHGraham Nicholson 19 Yd Field Goal 13–34
- Q2 1:24DELAEJ Core 4 Yd pass from Marqui Adams (Jonathan Cardoza-Chicas PAT failed)13–31
- Q2 7:21M-OHKenny Tracy 6 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)7–31
- Q2 11:27M-OHReggie Virgil 34 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)7–24
- Q1 1:07M-OHJavon Tracy 10 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)7–17
- Q1 5:03M-OHGraham Nicholson 44 Yd Field Goal 7–10
- Q1 7:48DELAWade Inge 50 Yd pass from Marqui Adams (Jonathan Cardoza-Chicas Kick)7–7
- Q1 12:10M-OHRashad Amos 5 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →