Chattanooga vs. North Alabama: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Chattanooga
North Alabama
▸Final
Braly Municipal Stadium
CHATTeam statsNORT
488Total yards517
311Pass271
177Rush246
29First downs21
5-163rd down2-12
1Turnovers1
34:19Possession25:41
- Q4 1:00NORTJalyn Daniels 81 Yd Run (Sam Contorno Kick)27–41
- Q4 6:17NORTDakota Warfield 10 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Sam Contorno Kick)27–34
- Q4 8:49NORTJalyn Daniels 10 Yd Run (Sam Contorno PAT failed)27–27
- Q4 14:58CHATGino Appleberry 2 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick)27–21
- Q3 6:12CHATJude Kelley 20 Yd Field Goal 20–21
- Q3 12:05CHATChris Houston 36 Yd pass from Chase Artopoeus (Jude Kelley Kick)17–21
- Q2 8:09CHATJude Kelley 27 Yd Field Goal 10–21
- Q2 12:36CHATSam Phillips 8 Yd pass from Chase Artopoeus (Jude Kelley Kick)7–21
- Q2 14:00NORTTakairee Kenebrew 21 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Sam Contorno Kick)0–21
- Q1 6:00NORTTakairee Kenebrew 59 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Sam Contorno Kick)0–15
- Q1 6:00NORTTakairee Kenebrew 59 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Sam Contorno Kick)0–14
- Q1 11:54NORTTakairee Kenebrew 25 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Sam Contorno Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
CHAT −19.5
Against the number
NORT covered
line CHAT −19.5
Kickoff161 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
NORT (top)CHAT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: NORT 100%
Closing line
CHAT −19.5
Closing total
52.5
Model line
—
Actual result
CHAT 27 – 41 NORT
Chattanooga
- PassChase Artopoeus 22/46, 311 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushAilym Ford 24 CAR, 90 YDS
- RecJavin Whatley 6 REC, 106 YDS
North Alabama
- PassNoah Walters 16/28, 271 YDS, 4 TD
- RushJalyn Daniels 8 CAR, 147 YDS, 2 TD
- RecTakairee Kenebrew 5 REC, 172 YDS, 3 TD
22.8sper snap · faster the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
158
Points / snap
0.43
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsNORT up 1 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,676 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
53%
NORT went on to win
A genuinely vulnerable lead — comebacks are common
FAQ
What was the final score of Chattanooga vs. North Alabama?
Chattanooga 27, North Alabama 41.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (NORT) was correct.
CHAT
NORT
37%
Success rate
45%
0.22
EPA / pass
0.69
-0.10
EPA / rush
0.25
39%
Early-down success
50%
35%
Pass success
47%
41%
Rush success
43%
11%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
19%
19%
Stuffed rush rate
19%
54%
Pass rate
45%
7.5
Avg 3rd-down distance
6.7
CHAT
7.5 yards to go on 3rd down
91 scrimmage snaps
NORT
6.7 yards to go on 3rd down
67 scrimmage snaps
| CHAT | NORT | |
|---|---|---|
| 488 | Total yards | 517 |
| 311 | Passing yards | 271 |
| 177 | Rushing yards | 246 |
| 29 | First downs | 21 |
| 5-16 | 3rd down | 2-12 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 2-4 |
| 22/46 | Comp/Att | 16/29 |
| 6.8 | Yards per pass | 9.3 |
| 4.2 | Yards per rush | 7.0 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 6-62 | Penalties | 6-75 |
| 34:19 | Possession | 25:41 |
CHAT
6/9 with the model
−1.6 pts · −0.0% win prob
NORT
9/9 with the model
nothing given up
Costliest call
Q3 6:12 CHAT field goal on 4th & 3 at NORT 3. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.83 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishCHAT 5/16 scoring drives← own end zone →NORT 6/15 scoring drives
NORTTD8 pl, 88 yds· own 12Q1
CHATPUNT5 pl, 18 yds· own 25Q1
NORTPUNT3 pl, -12 yds· own 22Q1
CHATPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 37Q1
NORTTD1 pl, 59 yds· own 41Q1
CHATPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q1
NORTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 20Q1
CHATPUNT4 pl, 10 yds· own 29Q1
NORTTD9 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q1
CHATTD4 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 25Q2
CHATFG7 pl, 56 yds· own 34Q2
NORTDOWNS10 pl, 69 yds· own 25Q2
CHATMISS12 pl, 63 yds· own 6Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 31Q2
CHATEND3 pl, 6 yds· own 33Q2
CHATINT5 pl, 33 yds· own 20Q3
NORTFUM2 pl, -6 yds· own 42Q3
CHATTD1 pl, 36 yds· opp 36Q3
NORTDOWNS6 pl, 34 yds· own 22Q3
CHATFG9 pl, 53 yds· own 44Q3
NORTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q3
CHATTD10 pl, 63 yds· own 37Q3
NORTPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 18Q4
CHATMISS9 pl, 31 yds· own 33Q4
NORTTD3 pl, 64 yds· own 36Q4
CHATPUNT3 pl, -5 yds· own 25Q4
NORTTD5 pl, 53 yds· own 47Q4
CHATDOWNS10 pl, 65 yds· own 25Q4
NORTTD2 pl, 90 yds· own 10Q4
CHATEND4 pl, 17 yds· own 13Q4
- Q4 1:00NORTJalyn Daniels 81 Yd Run (Sam Contorno Kick)27–41
- Q4 6:17NORTDakota Warfield 10 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Sam Contorno Kick)27–34
- Q4 8:49NORTJalyn Daniels 10 Yd Run (Sam Contorno PAT failed)27–27
- Q4 14:58CHATGino Appleberry 2 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick)27–21
- Q3 6:12CHATJude Kelley 20 Yd Field Goal 20–21
- Q3 12:05CHATChris Houston 36 Yd pass from Chase Artopoeus (Jude Kelley Kick)17–21
- Q2 8:09CHATJude Kelley 27 Yd Field Goal 10–21
- Q2 12:36CHATSam Phillips 8 Yd pass from Chase Artopoeus (Jude Kelley Kick)7–21
- Q2 14:00NORTTakairee Kenebrew 21 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Sam Contorno Kick)0–21
- Q1 6:00NORTTakairee Kenebrew 59 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Sam Contorno Kick)0–15
- Q1 6:00NORTTakairee Kenebrew 59 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Sam Contorno Kick)0–14
- Q1 11:54NORTTakairee Kenebrew 25 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Sam Contorno Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →