Davidson vs. VMI: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Davidson
VMI
▸Final
Alumni Memorial Field
DAVITeam statsVMI
184Total yards412
83Pass239
101Rush173
8First downs22
2-133rd down6-14
1Turnovers2
25:47Possession34:13
- Q4 0:51VMIVJ Johnson 25 Yd pass from Collin Ironside (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)7–12
- Q3 3:32DAVIChristian Berry 24 Yd pass from Luke Durkin (Adam Zouagui Kick)7–6
- Q2 1:11VMIGrant Swinehart 14 Yd Run (Caden Beck PAT failed)0–6
What the numbers say
- VMI played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and DAVI did not face the same ones. 3rd & 11.4 vs 3rd & 4.5
Kickoff147 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
VMI (top)DAVI (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: VMI 100%
Davidson
- PassLuke Durkin 6/12, 83 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushMari Adams 12 CAR, 35 YDS
- RecBrody Reina 1 REC, 34 YDS
VMI
- PassCollin Ironside 17/27, 239 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushRashad Raymond 12 CAR, 62 YDS
- RecAidan Twombly 3 REC, 83 YDS
20sper snap · faster the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
124
Points / snap
0.15
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsDAVI up 1 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,672 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
53%
DAVI went on to win
A genuinely vulnerable lead — comebacks are common
FAQ
What was the final score of Davidson vs. VMI?
Davidson 7, VMI 12.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (VMI) was correct.
DAVI
VMI
29%
Success rate
45%
0.33
EPA / pass
0.59
-0.13
EPA / rush
-0.06
31%
Early-down success
46%
42%
Pass success
50%
26%
Rush success
42%
4%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
11%
10%
Stuffed rush rate
12%
24%
Pass rate
41%
4.5
Avg 3rd-down distance
11.4
DAVI
4.5 yards to go on 3rd down
51 scrimmage snaps
VMI
11.4 yards to go on 3rd down
73 scrimmage snaps
| DAVI | VMI | |
|---|---|---|
| 184 | Total yards | 412 |
| 83 | Passing yards | 239 |
| 101 | Rushing yards | 173 |
| 8 | First downs | 22 |
| 2-13 | 3rd down | 6-14 |
| 2-2 | 4th down | 0-2 |
| 6/12 | Comp/Att | 17/27 |
| 6.9 | Yards per pass | 8.9 |
| 2.6 | Yards per rush | 3.8 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 1-5 | Penalties | 7-54 |
| 25:47 | Possession | 34:13 |
DAVI
9/11 with the model
−1.4 pts · −0.0% win prob
VMI
6/8 with the model
−1.3 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q4 10:37 VMI go for it on 4th & 11 at DAVI 29. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.91 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishDAVI 1/11 scoring drives← own end zone →VMI 2/12 scoring drives
DAVIPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 30Q0
DAVIPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q1
VMIINT13 pl, 69 yds· own 11Q1
DAVIPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 37Q1
VMIPUNT5 pl, 18 yds· own 28Q1
DAVIPUNT5 pl, 44 yds· own 20Q1
VMIUncateg8 pl, 25 yds· own 20Q2
VMIFUM10 pl, 49 yds· own 32Q2
DAVIPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 19Q2
VMITD6 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q2
DAVIPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 32Q2
VMIEND1 pl, 7 yds· own 20Q2
VMIPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 23Q3
DAVITD16 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
VMIPUNT3 pl, -7 yds· own 35Q3
DAVIPUNT5 pl, 16 yds· own 38Q3
VMIPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 18Q4
DAVIPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 29Q4
VMIMISS9 pl, 50 yds· own 25Q4
DAVIPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q4
VMITD12 pl, 85 yds· own 15Q4
DAVIINT4 pl, 12 yds· own 23Q4
VMIEND1 pl, -1 yds· own 21Q4
- Q4 0:51VMIVJ Johnson 25 Yd pass from Collin Ironside (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)7–12
- Q3 3:32DAVIChristian Berry 24 Yd pass from Luke Durkin (Adam Zouagui Kick)7–6
- Q2 1:11VMIGrant Swinehart 14 Yd Run (Caden Beck PAT failed)0–6
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →