Oklahoma vs. Alabama: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
OUTeam statsALA
- Q4 0:47OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.45–31
- Q4 6:22ALAALABAMA Extra point GOOD.38–31
- Q4 6:22ALAALABAMA pass complete for a touchdown.38–31
- Q4 10:44OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.38–24
- Q4 10:44OUOKLAHOMA pass complete for a touchdown.37–24
- Q3 8:49ALAALABAMA Extra point GOOD.31–24
- Q3 8:49ALAALABAMA rush for a touchdown.31–23
- Q2 1:05OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.31–17
- Q2 1:05OUOKLAHOMA rush for a touchdown.30–17
- Q2 2:59OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.24–17
- Q2 2:59OUOKLAHOMA pass complete for a touchdown.23–17
- Q2 11:45OUOKLAHOMA 47 yard field goal GOOD.17–17
- Q2 14:03ALAALABAMA Extra point GOOD.14–17
- Q2 14:03ALAALABAMA pass complete for a touchdown.14–16
- Q1 1:53OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.14–10
- Q1 1:53OUOKLAHOMA pass complete for a touchdown.13–10
- Q1 7:02ALAALABAMA 27 yard field goal GOOD.7–10
- Q1 9:43OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.7–7
- Q1 9:43OUOKLAHOMA pass complete for a touchdown.6–7
- Q1 13:11ALAALABAMA Extra point GOOD.0–7
- Q1 13:11ALAALABAMA rush for a touchdown.0–6
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- OU played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and ALA did not face the same ones. 3rd & 8.3 vs 3rd & 4.6
- PassTrevor Knight 32/44, 348 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
- RushBrennan Clay 17 CAR, 44 YDS
- RecLacoltan Bester 6 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
- PassAJ McCarron 19/30, 387 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
- RushDerrick Henry 8 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
- RecDeAndrew White 3 REC, 139 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsOU up 7 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,295 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 1:05OU +25%
Sterling Shepard rush for 13 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 2:59OU +20%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Jalen Saunders for 43 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q4 10:44OU +20%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 9 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q4 6:22ALA +19%
AJ McCarron pass complete to Derrick Henry for 61 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 8:49ALA +19%
Derrick Henry rush for 43 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q4 11:46OU +15%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Brennan Clay for 9 yards to the Alab 43
FAQ
What was the final score of Oklahoma vs. Alabama?
Oklahoma 45, Alabama 31.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked ALA, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| OU | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 429 | Total yards | 516 |
| 348 | Passing yards | 387 |
| 81 | Rushing yards | 129 |
| 24 | First downs | 20 |
| 7-15 | 3rd down | 6-12 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 32/44 | Comp/Att | 19/30 |
| 7.9 | Yards per pass | 12.9 |
| 2.7 | Yards per rush | 3.7 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 11-95 | Penalties | 6-45 |
| 30:55 | Possession | 29:05 |
Costliest call
Q2 11:45 OU field goal on 4th & 3 at ALA 30. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.41 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 0:47OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.45–31
- Q4 6:22ALAALABAMA Extra point GOOD.38–31
- Q4 6:22ALAALABAMA pass complete for a touchdown.38–31
- Q4 10:44OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.38–24
- Q4 10:44OUOKLAHOMA pass complete for a touchdown.37–24
- Q3 8:49ALAALABAMA Extra point GOOD.31–24
- Q3 8:49ALAALABAMA rush for a touchdown.31–23
- Q2 1:05OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.31–17
- Q2 1:05OUOKLAHOMA rush for a touchdown.30–17
- Q2 2:59OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.24–17
- Q2 2:59OUOKLAHOMA pass complete for a touchdown.23–17
- Q2 11:45OUOKLAHOMA 47 yard field goal GOOD.17–17
- Q2 14:03ALAALABAMA Extra point GOOD.14–17
- Q2 14:03ALAALABAMA pass complete for a touchdown.14–16
- Q1 1:53OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.14–10
- Q1 1:53OUOKLAHOMA pass complete for a touchdown.13–10
- Q1 7:02ALAALABAMA 27 yard field goal GOOD.7–10
- Q1 9:43OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.7–7
- Q1 9:43OUOKLAHOMA pass complete for a touchdown.6–7
- Q1 13:11ALAALABAMA Extra point GOOD.0–7
- Q1 13:11ALAALABAMA rush for a touchdown.0–6
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (ALA Elo 2168, OU Elo 1880 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects ALA -11.5 (78% to win) — 5.0 points clear of OU's market line of -16.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2013
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#25 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #15 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →Oklahoma leads 5–3–1 · 33% have been one-possession games
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
Create a free account →You get Pro free for 6 months. No card required.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →