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Mount St. Mary's

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Metro · 22-13 · AdjEM -7.7, 248 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-7.7248 of 364
AdjO
98.4286 of 364
AdjD
106.1193 of 364
AdjT
70.8114 of 364

Mount St. Mary's went from -6.6 (#240) on 2024-11-03 to -7.7 (#248) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -6.6 (#240) on 2024-11-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.9%169
TOV%
20.2%358
OREB%
28.1%166
FTA/FGA
30.5%255
Opp eFG%
48.7%71
Opp TOV%
14.6%280
DREB%
73.5%117
Opp FTA/FGA
26.0%27

Résumé22-13 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-6.1292 of 364
Non-conference
+0.8166 of 364
Luck
+13.8%3 of 364
Wins above bubble
-8.9159 of 364
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
4-1
Quad 4
18-8

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Xavier LipscombG3633.56.84.24.344.7%51.5%13.5%34.0%74.3%
Dola AdebayoF3629.113.26.91.054.7%58.5%24.1%30.6%73.8%
Jedy CordiliaF3529.610.37.31.159.9%61.0%17.8%28.6%69.0%
Carmelo PachecoG3028.29.51.71.367.3%68.9%13.3%46.4%81.6%
Dallas HobbsG3028.012.43.73.345.0%49.4%28.3%31.2%78.5%
Arlandus KeyesG3219.26.83.31.950.0%52.5%21.8%36.1%77.1%
Javon ErvinG3415.45.12.21.039.6%44.1%24.1%26.9%69.1%
Terrell Ard Jr.F2124.410.97.22.253.7%57.5%24.4%16.7%71.1%
Abdou Khadre KebeG2911.22.61.30.438.1%40.9%19.4%23.5%68.8%
Patrick HaighG196.41.80.50.237.8%37.8%21.2%24.4%—
Malcolm DreadG186.71.70.90.262.0%62.0%13.8%50.0%—
Trey WilsonG244.10.90.80.243.8%49.6%17.8%33.3%61.5%
Jonathan OgunfuyeF32.71.31.00.0100.0%100.0%19.4%——
Jaxon HartmanG22.00.00.50.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games22-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for Mount St. Mary's, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-08@MarylandQ1#15L 52-86-17.8
11-13@BucknellQ3#201W 93-89-8.5
11-16vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#317W 66-58+7.5
11-20@GeorgetownQ2#99L 51-79-4.7
11-23vsDelaware StateQ4#311W 76-66+7.8
11-30@HowardQ4#303W 79-75-4.0
12-06@MaristQ4#247L 50-53-4.9
12-08vsFairfieldQ4#323W 101-94+4.5
12-14vsLoyola MarylandQ4#313L 69-77+7.0
12-18@Long Island UniversityQ4#295W 80-72+2.6
12-21@MiamiQ3#157W 78-74-15.8
12-28@George MasonQ2#81L 56-64-17.4
01-05vsNiagaraQ4#318W 68-62+8.8
01-10@ManhattanQ4#262W 75-66-0.8
01-12vsSacred HeartQ4#263W 73-71+4.5
01-16@RiderQ4#302L 60-66+1.8
01-18vsQuinnipiacQ4#194L 57-91+0.4
01-23@SienaQ4#269L 68-82-2.6
01-25vsManhattanQ4#262L 64-74+4.6
01-31@MerrimackQ3#185W 66-58-11.5
02-02@Saint Peter'sQ4#279W 79-64-6.8
02-06vsIonaQ4#250L 67-70+3.4
02-14@NiagaraQ4#318W 84-83-0.3
02-16@CanisiusQ4#357W 73-66+6.3
02-21vsSaint Peter'sQ4#279W 69-58+3.1
02-23vsRiderQ4#302W 79-72+5.6
02-28@FairfieldQ4#323L 62-69+1.7
03-02vsSienaQ4#269W 85-79+2.9
03-06@QuinnipiacQ3#194L 70-79-7.6
03-08vsMaristQ4#247W 62-52+1.2
03-13nMaristQ4#247W 62-58-0.8
03-14nMerrimackQ3#185W 57-55-4.6
03-15nIonaQ4#250W 63-49-0.3
03-19nAmerican UniversityQ4#236W 83-72-1.2
03-21nDukeQ1#1L 49-93-33.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.