Louisville at Michigan State
NCAAFinal· KeyBank Center
6Louisville
ACC#13 AdjEM
69
AdjEM +21.2
at
3Michigan State
Big Ten#15 AdjEM
77
AdjEM +21.0
Our number
We projected Louisville by 0.1 at a pace of 70.4 possessions — 50% for Michigan State.
From the rating snapshot of 2026-03-16, which contains no game played on or after it.
Actual +8Miss by 8.1✗ wrong side