VCU at North Carolina

NCAAFinal· Bon Secours Wellness Arena

11VCU

A-10#36 AdjEM

AdjEM +14.8

6North Carolina

ACC#28 AdjEM

AdjEM +16.4

Scoring	H1	H2	OT1	T
VCU	28	47	7	82
North Carolina	39	36	3	78

Our number

We projected North Carolina by 1.1 at a pace of 70.8 possessions — 55% for North Carolina.

From the rating snapshot of 2026-03-16, which contains no game played on or after it.

Actual -4Miss by 5.2✗ wrong side

As of 2026-03-16	AdjO	AdjD	AdjT	AdjEM
VCU	116.4 40	101.6 53	71.3	+14.76
North Carolina	115.6 45	99.3 29	70.3	+16.38