#7Xavier Restrepo

WR·Miami·2024

Xavier Restrepo is a Versatile WR for Miami. Xavier's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 76 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Xavier Restrepo's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving

69 Receptions1127 Rec yards11 Rec TD16.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume26
Explosiveness62
Consistency87
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.61 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 2.23 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Florida A&M.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@Florida	W41-17	13.8	7	112	16.0	1	40	0.77
2	vsFlorida A&M	W56-9	—	4	104	26.0	1	50	2.23
3	vsBall State	W62-0	-19.8	3	47	15.7	2	21	1.91
4	@South Florida	W50-15	-2.3	6	99	16.5	1	28	1.57
5	vsVirginia Tech	W38-34	10.0	5	60	12.0	0	26	1.17
6	@California	W39-38	4.0	7	163	23.3	0	77	1.92
8	@Louisville	W52-45	13.6	7	101	14.4	1	63	1.26
9	vsFlorida State	W36-14	-3.2	4	24	6.0	0	13	0.22
10	vsDuke	W53-31	5.6	8	146	18.3	3	66	1.33
11	@Georgia Tech	L23-28	1.9	4	78	19.5	1	38	1.24
13	vsWake Forest	W42-14	-5.7	5	45	9.0	0	15	0.74
14	@Syracuse	L38-42	5.5	9	148	16.4	1	40	1.14

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

9.2%

Passing plays

16.3%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

8.5%

Passing downs

10.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 1.07
Passing downs: 1.91
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.33 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).