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Vaughn Blue

#24Vaughn Blue

Vaughn Blue is a Pass-Catching Back for Central Michigan.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Vaughn Blue's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
52 Rush yards1 Rush TD9 Carries5.8 Yards/carry
Receiving
4 Receptions28 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.0 Yards/rec

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

6
Targets
0.7y
Avg depth
7.8y
After catch
67%
Catch rate

The ball travels 0.7 yards in the air on an average target 8.2 yards shorter than the median. Another 7.8 comes after the catch.

Where he is targeted

targets · completion rate · yards
deep
0
0
0
short
2
100% · 3y
2
50% · 17y
2
50% · 8y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume33
  • Explosiveness56
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving100
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.1800.18Wk 1 vs New Mexico: +0.18 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Colgate: -0.14 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@New MexicoL7-384.43258.301-100.18
2vsColgateW13-106274.513290-0.14

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
11.6%
Passing plays
12.5%
Rushing plays
11.6%
Standard downs
14.3%
Passing downs
7.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.05
Passing downs
-0.37
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.41 / 0.07

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.