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Tyler Huff

#6Tyler Huff

QB·Jacksonville State·20247.9 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Tyler Huff is a Dual-Threat QB for Jacksonville State. Tyler's 2024 season ranks in the 50th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 473 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tyler Huff's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing
178/293 Comp/Att2543 Pass yards14 Pass TD7 INT60.8% Comp %
Rushing
1344 Rush yards15 Rush TD227 Carries5.9 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency50
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat100
  • Consistency85
  • Clutch57
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)50th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency85th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.21 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.00 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Southern Miss (SP+ -26).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Stetson BennettGeorgia0.63512.5323.0
Kyle McCordSyracuse0.50912.1321.4
Jordan TravisFlorida State0.47610.1328.3
Sam HartmanWake Forest0.55611.8359.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.0001.00Wk 1 vs Coastal Carolina: +0.51 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Louisville: +0.31 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Eastern Michigan: +0.36 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Southern Miss: +1.00 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Kennesaw State: +0.53 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs New Mexico State: +0.46 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.57 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Liberty: +0.28 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Louisiana Tech: +0.26 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Florida International: +0.30 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Sam Houston: +0.37 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Western Kentucky: +0.10 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Western Kentucky: +0.64 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsCoastal CarolinaL27-55-6.97/14173121.41100.51
2@LouisvilleL14-4913.617/271601181.810110.31
3@Eastern MichiganL34-37-13.324/343112064.88000.36
4vsSouthern MissW44-7-25.614/162361191.27711.00
6@Kennesaw StateW63-24-25.116/251930086.417630.53
7vsNew Mexico StateW54-13-19.011/181962061.55810.46
9vsMiddle TennesseeW42-20-24.410/181371087.015120.57
10@LibertyW31-210.26/10950056.613000.28
11@Louisiana TechW44-37-11.614/312002130.64210.26
12vsFlorida InternationalW34-31-12.115/282111051.07610.30
13vsSam HoustonW21-11-6.99/12540086.917730.37
14@Western KentuckyL17-19-2.23/11370118.79700.10
15vsWestern KentuckyW52-12-2.211/151762093.316710.64
20vsOhioL27-302.321/343641169.211

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
53.7%
Passing plays
93.5%
Rushing plays
33.1%
Standard downs
45.7%
Passing downs
75.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.37
Passing downs
0.46
Pass / Rush EPA
0.36 / 0.47

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.09+0.02
EPA per play · 2024 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.