Treshaun Ward

RB·Boston College·2024

Treshaun Ward is a Pass-Catching Back for Boston College. Treshaun's 2024 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 95 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Treshaun Ward's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

406 Rush yards2 Rush TD77 Carries5.3 Yards/carry

Receiving

15 Receptions268 Rec yards4 Rec TD17.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency40
Volume41
Explosiveness46
Consistency60
Receiving80

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency60th %ile · average

Key findings

▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.66 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Duquesne.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Florida State	W28-13	-3.2	12	77	6.4	0	3	61	1	0.37
2	vsDuquesne	W56-0	—	8	55	6.9	1	1	30	1	0.66
3	@Missouri	L21-27	14.0	6	21	3.5	0	1	14	0	0.03
4	vsMichigan State	W23-19	-4.6	14	102	7.3	1	2	11	0	-0.04
5	vsWestern Kentucky	W21-20	-2.2	6	20	3.3	0	1	25	0	0.20
6	@Virginia	L14-24	-5.1	4	8	2.0	0	—	—	—	-0.41
8	@Virginia Tech	L21-42	10.0	6	22	3.7	0	2	29	1	0.59
9	vsLouisville	L27-31	13.6	13	64	4.9	0	3	81	1	0.59
12	@SMU	L28-38	17.5	4	22	5.5	0	—	—	—	0.00
13	vsNorth Carolina	W41-21	5.0	4	15	3.8	0	2	17	0	0.43

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

14.3%

Passing plays

6.3%

Rushing plays

19.8%

Standard downs

16.4%

Passing downs

8.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.15
Passing downs: 1.10
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.92 / -0.04

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).