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Torrance Burgess Jr.
Torrance Burgess Jr.

#4Torrance Burgess Jr.

Torrance Burgess Jr. is a Committee Back for Texas State.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Torrance Burgess Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
95 Rush yards1 Rush TD20 Carries4.8 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume21
  • Explosiveness36
  • Consistency0
  • Receiving0
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.76 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Nicholls.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.7600.76Wk 1 vs Eastern Michigan: -0.14 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs UTSA: -0.01 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Arizona State: -0.35 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Nicholls: +0.76 EPA/play4
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDEPA/play
1vsEastern MichiganW52-27-14.73124.00-0.14
2@UTSAW43-363.74184.50-0.01
3@Arizona StateL15-343.96172.80-0.35
4vsNichollsW35-37486.910.76

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
7.2%
Passing plays
0.0%
Rushing plays
11.8%
Standard downs
9.4%
Passing downs
1.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.12
Passing downs
0.49
Pass / Rush EPA
— / 0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.