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Samaj Jones

#5Samaj Jones

Samaj Jones is a Dual-Threat QB for Cincinnati.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Samaj Jones's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
4/7 Comp/Att72 Pass yards1 Pass TD0 INT57.1% Comp %
Rushing
83 Rush yards1 Rush TD18 Carries4.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume66
  • Dual-Threat79
  • Consistency50
  • Clutch69
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.57 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Northwestern State.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
3vsNorthwestern StateW70-02/2531094.62601.57
20vsNavyL13-356.22/51900571

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
23.1%
Passing plays
16.3%
Rushing plays
28.6%
Standard downs
15.9%
Passing downs
46.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.11
Passing downs
0.25
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.13 / 0.29

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.