#87Sam West

TE·Mississippi State·2025

Sam West is a Red Zone Weapon TE for Mississippi State.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Sam West's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

5 Receptions41 Rec yards1 Rec TD8.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

Efficiency100
Volume5
Explosiveness8
Consistency78
Pass-Down100

Player type

Red Zone Weapon TE

Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.

Red zone targetHigh TD rateSize/catch radius advantage

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency78th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 3.11 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Tennessee (SP+ 15).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
5	vsTennessee	L34-41	15.0	—	—	—	—	—	3.11
9	vsTexas	L38-45	16.2	1	13	13.0	1	13	1.02
11	vsGeorgia	L21-41	24.1	1	12	12.0	0	12	1.65
12	@Missouri	L27-49	14.4	2	10	5.0	0	8	0.18
20	vsWake Forest	L29-43	5.7	1	6	6.0	0	6	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

1.7%

Passing plays

3.4%

Rushing plays

0.4%

Standard downs

0.6%

Passing downs

3.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -1.13
Passing downs: 1.25
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.55 / 3.11

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).