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Robert Briggs
Robert Briggs

#2Robert Briggs

RB·Southern Miss·2025

Robert Briggs is a Pass-Catching Back for Southern Miss. Robert's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 72 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Robert Briggs's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
304 Rush yards1 Rush TD62 Carries4.9 Yards/carry
Receiving
13 Receptions95 Rec yards1 Rec TD7.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume30
  • Explosiveness38
  • Consistency0
  • Receiving76
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.98 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs App State (SP+ -11).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.980−0.98Wk 1 vs Mississippi State: -0.35 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Jackson State: -0.20 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs App State: +0.98 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Louisiana Tech: -0.17 EPA/play4Wk 8 vs Louisiana: -0.41 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs UL Monroe: +0.53 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Arkansas State: +0.14 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Texas State: -0.41 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs South Alabama: +0.01 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Troy: +0.24 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsMississippi StateL17-344.17182.60120-0.35
2vsJackson StateW38-20—8303.81100-0.20
3vsApp StateW38-22-11.43217.0022210.98
4@Louisiana TechL20-30-1.39475.20160-0.17
8@LouisianaW22-10-10.13175.70———-0.41
9vsUL MonroeW49-21-21.67557.9031600.53
11@Arkansas StateW27-21-8.810444.401500.14
12vsTexas StateL14-412.3221.00———-0.41
13@South AlabamaL35-42-12.7242.0033600.01
14vsTroyL18-28-4.86305.001800.24
20vsWestern KentuckyL16-271.65367.20————

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
10.5%
Passing plays
4.4%
Rushing plays
18.2%
Standard downs
10.8%
Passing downs
10.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.03
Passing downs
0.50
Pass / Rush EPA
0.32 / 0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.