#24Ofa Mataele

RB·Western Michigan·2025

Ofa Mataele is a Committee Back for Western Michigan. Ofa's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 60 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ofa Mataele's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

252 Rush yards3 Rush TD57 Carries4.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

5 Receptions8 Rec yards0 Rec TD1.6 Yards/rec

Returns

2 Kick returns23 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume25
Explosiveness28
Consistency9
Receiving65

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency9th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.48 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.63 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Rhode Island.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
2	vsNorth Texas	L30-33	13.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	@Illinois	L0-38	12.9	8	46	5.8	0	1	2	0	0.04
4	vsToledo	W14-13	6.0	2	9	4.5	0	2	2	0	-0.09
5	vsRhode Island	W47-14	—	10	60	6.0	2	—	—	—	0.63
6	@Massachusetts	W21-3	-36.6	5	18	3.6	0	1	3	0	-0.20
7	vsBall State	W42-0	-23.0	5	15	3.0	1	—	—	—	0.21
9	@Miami (OH)	L17-26	-3.4	5	12	2.4	0	—	—	—	-0.86
10	vsCentral Michigan	W24-21	-8.8	4	21	5.3	0	—	—	—	0.03
12	vsOhio	W17-13	-4.0	3	8	2.7	0	1	1	0	-0.29
13	@Northern Illinois	W35-19	-16.7	5	19	3.8	0	—	—	—	-0.23
15	vsMiami (OH)	W23-13	-3.4	6	20	3.3	0	—	—	—	-0.48
20	vsKennesaw State	W41-6	-5.4	4	24	6.0	0	—	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

8.7%

Passing plays

3.1%

Rushing plays

11.9%

Standard downs

10.0%

Passing downs

5.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.04
Passing downs: -0.43
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.43 / 0.02

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).