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Myles Mitchell

#5Myles Mitchell

Myles Mitchell is a Committee Back for North Dakota State. Myles's 2026 season produced 4.6 total EPA across 33 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Myles Mitchell's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
180 Rush yards2 Rush TD36 Carries5.0 Yards/carry
Receiving
2 Receptions11 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume55
  • Explosiveness40
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving37
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.1200.12Wk 1 vs Fordham: +0.07 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Air Force: +0.12 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
0vsJacksonville StateW33-7-7.011746.70
1vsFordhamW38-010454.500.07
2@Air ForceW38-321.115614.1221100.12

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
19.1%
Passing plays
3.9%
Rushing plays
29.7%
Standard downs
19.7%
Passing downs
17.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.20
Passing downs
-0.03
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.06 / 0.16

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.