Skip to content
Mikey Keene
Mikey Keene

#12Mikey Keene

QB·Fresno State·2024

Mikey Keene is a Clutch Passer for Fresno State. Mikey's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 408 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Mikey Keene's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing
276/392 Comp/Att2887 Pass yards18 Pass TD11 INT70.4% Comp %
Rushing
-192 Rush yards0 Rush TD47 Carries-4.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat0
  • Consistency67
  • Clutch99
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency67th %ile · average
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • ▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.57 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs New Mexico State (SP+ -19).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.570−0.57Wk 1 vs Michigan: -0.09 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Sacramento State: +0.47 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs New Mexico State: +0.57 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs New Mexico: +0.36 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs UNLV: +0.13 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Washington State: -0.14 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Nevada: +0.13 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs San José State: +0.17 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Hawai'i: +0.11 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Air Force: +0.53 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Colorado State: +0.04 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs UCLA: +0.13 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1@MichiganL10-3010.622/362351241.2-300-0.09
2vsSacramento StateW46-30—24/353582251.4100.47
3vsNew Mexico StateW48-0-19.012/222212058.1100.57
4@New MexicoW38-21-14.826/332261058.8-900.36
5@UNLVL14-599.327/413161238.4-3400.13
7vsWashington StateL17-251.324/3622012—-220-0.14
8@NevadaW24-21-15.213/201900134.8-1500.13
9vsSan José StateW33-10-5.530/412753167.1-900.17
10vsHawai'iL20-21-10.925/311571037.7-2800.11
11@Air ForceL28-36-11.723/262893171.2-2500.53
13vsColorado StateW28-22-5.720/281812022.9-1400.04
14@UCLAL13-20-1.330/432191052.3-800.13

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
58.1%
Passing plays
97.6%
Rushing plays
7.1%
Standard downs
49.8%
Passing downs
75.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.05
Passing downs
0.34
Pass / Rush EPA
0.23 / -0.37

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.