#14Mekhi Anderson

WR·UTSA·2025

Mekhi Anderson is a Red Zone Weapon WR for UTSA.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Mekhi Anderson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

5 Receptions66 Rec yards1 Rec TD13.2 Yards/rec

Returns

6 Kick returns130 KR yards0 KR TD

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

Targets

6.4y

Avg depth

4.0y

After catch

100%

Catch rate

The ball travels 6.4 yards in the air on an average target — 2.5 yards shorter than the median. Another 4.0 comes after the catch.

Where he is targeted

targets · completion rate · yards

deep

—

100% · 44y

short

—

100% · 14y

100% · 67y

leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume7
Explosiveness41
Consistency66
Pass-Down50

Player type

Red Zone Weapon WR

Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.

Red zone targetHigh TD rateSize/catch radius advantage

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency66th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸Peak game: 1.93 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs South Florida (SP+ 12).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Quadree Henderson	Pittsburgh	2016	63	0.530	1.6	33.4
DeAndre Hughes	Air Force	2021	60	0.470	1.3	28.2
Savion Williams	TCU	2024	56	0.450	1.1	25.2
Bert Emanuel Jr.	Central Michigan	2022	53	0.460	1.6	24.4
Javion Posey	Florida Atlantic	2020	53	0.450	1.4	23.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@Texas A&M	L24-42	20.7	—	—	—	—	—	-0.18
2	vsTexas State	L36-43	2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—
7	vsRice	W61-13	-14.8	1	10	10.0	0	10	1.28
8	@North Texas	L17-55	13.8	1	5	5.0	0	5	0.04
11	@South Florida	L23-55	11.6	2	31	15.5	1	19	1.93
12	@Charlotte	W28-7	-26.7	—	—	—	—	—	—
20	vsFlorida International	W57-20	-10.5	1	20	20.0	0	20	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

2.6%

Passing plays

4.5%

Rushing plays

0.8%

Standard downs

1.1%

Passing downs

5.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: —
Passing downs: 0.68
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.68 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).