#14Max Cutforth

QB·Boise State·2025

Max Cutforth is a Clutch Passer for Boise State. Max's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 138 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Max Cutforth's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

95/167 Comp/Att1059 Pass yards4 Pass TD5 INT56.9% Comp %

Rushing

-73 Rush yards0 Rush TD17 Carries-4.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume79
Dual-Threat21
Consistency0
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.27 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 2.02 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs South Florida (SP+ 12).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@South Florida	L7-34	11.6	2/2	31	0	0	100.0	—	—	2.02
2	vsEastern Washington	W51-14	—	1/3	2	0	0	0.7	-2	0	-0.57
4	@Air Force	W49-37	-3.2	3/4	34	0	0	74.4	—	—	0.57
5	vsApp State	W47-14	-11.4	0/1	0	0	0	0.0	-9	0	-2.38
10	vsFresno State	L7-30	1.8	14/29	106	1	2	4.1	-28	0	-0.15
12	@San Diego State	L7-17	6.7	12/18	104	0	0	34.3	1	0	0.14
13	vsColorado State	W49-21	-15.6	22/34	239	0	0	63.1	-22	0	0.23
14	@Utah State	W25-24	-3.1	26/49	341	2	0	57.7	-2	0	0.17
20	vsWashington	L10-38	18.4	15/27	202	1	3	11.7	-11	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

27.5%

Passing plays

52.9%

Rushing plays

2.7%

Standard downs

21.4%

Passing downs

39.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.02
Passing downs: 0.39
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.20 / 0.00

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).