#6Mason Fine

QB·North Texas·2018 20177.1 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Mason Fine is a 2-year Clutch Passer for North Texas. Mason's 2017 season ranks in the 20th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 529 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Mason Fine's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2017 Production

Passing

323/510 Comp/Att4044 Pass yards31 Pass TD15 INT63.3% Comp %

Rushing

17 Rush yards1 Rush TD106 Carries0.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs QB peers

Efficiency20
Volume100
Dual-Threat23
Consistency78
Clutch98

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)20th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency78th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.19 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.72 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs UTSA (SP+ -3).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Jordan Travis	Florida State	2021	690	0.476	10.1	328.3
Kyle McCord	Syracuse	2024	632	0.509	12.1	321.4
Sam Hartman	Wake Forest	2021	647	0.556	11.8	359.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsLamar	W59-14	—	15/21	224	3	0	80.1	1	0	0.44
2	@SMU	L32-54	-2.9	32/47	424	3	2	54.5	2	0	0.35
3	@Iowa	L14-31	9.8	16/26	167	0	1	34.3	-2	0	0.07
4	vsUAB	W46-43	—	15/29	261	3	0	79.8	18	0	0.33
5	@Southern Miss	W43-28	-3.4	24/40	366	2	1	80.0	4	0	0.43
7	vsUTSA	W29-26	-2.5	20/34	354	3	1	86.6	-3	1	0.72
8	@Florida Atlantic	L31-69	5.1	31/47	283	2	2	61.5	32	0	0.32
9	vsOld Dominion	W45-38	-16.8	25/36	309	1	1	52.7	8	0	0.27
10	@Louisiana Tech	W24-23	-5.5	22/36	203	1	1	44.5	16	0	0.00
11	vsUTEP	W45-10	-27.4	23/35	213	4	0	91.7	17	0	0.33
12	vsArmy	W52-49	-5.3	24/36	386	4	1	90.7	-4	0	0.56
13	@Rice	W30-14	-23.6	18/25	195	1	1	35.1	-15	0	-0.03
14	@Florida Atlantic	L17-41	5.1	28/44	356	1	2	40.0	1	0	0.13
1	vsTroy	L30-50	1.6	30/54	303	3	2	27.1	-58	0	0.10

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

57.9%

Passing plays

98.3%

Rushing plays

15.7%

Standard downs

52.7%

Passing downs

70.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.17
Passing downs: 0.46
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.31 / 0.01

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2017 — 2018 · 27 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2017	North Texas	7.1	0.410	—	253.8
2018	North Texas	5.5	0.420	+0.01	196.1

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.