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Makai Jackson
Makai Jackson

#2Makai Jackson

WR·App State·2024

Makai Jackson is a Versatile WR for App State. Makai's 2024 season produced 58.3 total EPA across 43 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Makai Jackson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
46 Receptions745 Rec yards5 Rec TD16.2 Yards/rec
Returns
8 Kick returns156 KR yards0 KR TD2 Punt returns24 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume19
  • Explosiveness61
  • Consistency88
  • Pass-Down0
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency88th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.76 from the first to second half of the season.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.00 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Coastal Carolina (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.000−2.00Wk 3 vs East Carolina: +1.54 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs South Alabama: +0.58 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Marshall: +0.62 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Louisiana: +1.33 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Georgia State: +0.81 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Old Dominion: +1.83 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Coastal Carolina: +2.00 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs James Madison: +1.78 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Georgia Southern: +1.92 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsEast Tennessee StateW38-10—22412.0015—
2@ClemsonL20-6613.36549.0117—
3@East CarolinaW21-19-1.068614.31361.54
4vsSouth AlabamaL14-482.823216.00260.58
6@MarshallL37-523.15295.80130.62
7@LouisianaL24-344.85489.60121.33
9vsGeorgia StateW33-26-17.946716.81420.81
10vsOld DominionW28-20-6.011515.00151.83
11@Coastal CarolinaL24-38-6.927135.50392.00
13vsJames MadisonW34-207.5516232.41641.78
14@Georgia SouthernL20-29-1.7815719.61401.92

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.7%
Passing plays
12.7%
Rushing plays
0.6%
Standard downs
5.5%
Passing downs
9.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.57
Passing downs
1.11
Pass / Rush EPA
1.37 / 1.06

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.